Rupee gains on positive China trade data

It closed at 61.09 per dollar compared with 61.34 on Friday

Bs_logo
Reuters Mumbai
Last Updated : Oct 13 2014 | 6:04 PM IST
The rupee started the week on a winning note after stronger-than-expected China trade data lifted risk appetite for emerging market assets by easing some of the recent concerns about the global economy.

Data on Monday showed China's exports in September grew more than the market expected, while imports surprisingly expanded, alleviating worries about deteriorating domestic demand in the world's second-largest economy.

But broader gains were capped ahead of consumer inflation data. Consumer price inflation is forecast to have eased to 7.2 percent in September, its lowest level since the government started releasing the data in 2012, according economists surveyed by Reuters.

"We expect the rupee to trade range-bound in the near-term between 60.70 and 61.50," said Chintan Karnani, chief analyst at Insignia Consultants, a currency risk advisory firm in New Delhi.

The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.0950/1050 per dollar compared with 61.34/35 on Friday.

"The next key factor will be the cues from state elections in Maharashtra - if the BJP wins big, it will help boost the rupee as this would enable the federal government to push through more reforms."

Prime Minister Narendra Modi spearheaded his party's campaign for elections later this week in Maharashtra, knowing that victory in the home of India's financial hub Mumbai will make it easier to push through economic reforms.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was down close to 0.5 percent for most part of the session.

The rupee also benefited as Indian shares closed higher on Monday as blue-chips recovered from recent losses.

In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.38/48 while the three-month was at 61.98/62.08.

 

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Oct 13 2014 | 5:43 PM IST