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Yields inch up on Fed rate hike talk; stocks flat

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Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : May 24 2016 | 12:07 AM IST

By Caroline Valetkevitch and Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Short-dated U.S. Treasury yields inched up on Monday while global stock markets were little changed as investors weighed the possibility that U.S. interest rates could soon rise.

Commodities were weak across the board. Oil prices fell and were on track for a fourth session of losses as investors worried about global supply, while copper fell toward three-month lows hit last week.

In the United States, an imminent rise in interest rates was looking more probable. The Federal Reserve will likely tighten policy a bit more quickly in 2017 than this year, by perhaps one or two more rate hikes, San Francisco Fed President John Williams said on Monday.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said a relatively tight labour market in the United States may put upward pressure on inflation, raising the case for higher interest rates.

The Fed surprised investors when the central bank's meeting minutes released last week opened the door to a rate hike as early as in June.

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Topping the agenda this week is whether U.S. economic data adds to the likelihood of a June or July rate increase.

MSCI's all-country world stock index was flat, while the U.S. S&P 500 index was also little changed.

"The market will be pretty rangebound until we get a better sense of what's happening with the Fed," said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of Sarhan Capital in New York.

"Right now, we're getting a lot of cross currents from the central bank and investors are looking for more direction with (Fed chief Janet) Yellen speaking on Friday."

Short-dated U.S. Treasury yields edged up, with the two-year yield hovering at its highest in two months on Fed rate-hike bets.

The yield on two-year Treasury bills hit 0.905 percent, within striking distance of the two-month peak of 0.920 percent set last Thursday. Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes were up 4/32 in price to yield 1.833 percent, down from Friday.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 37.05 points, or 0.21 percent, to 17,537.99, the S&P 500 had gained 0.38 point, or 0.02 percent, to 2,052.7 and the Nasdaq Composite had added 9.26 points, or 0.19 percent, to 4,778.82.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index of leading regional stocks ended down 0.5 percent.

Shares of Monsanto . were up 5.1 percent in afternoon New York trading after Bayer unveiled a $62 billion bid for U.S. seeds company Monsanto. Bayer AG weighed on the European market.

Investors also digested economic data that showed euro zone private sector growth in manufacturing and services slowing a little in May, even though Germany continued to power ahead.

In currency markets, the U.S. dollar slipped against the yen on Japanese trade data and U.S. resistance to currency intervention from Tokyo.

The dollar was down 0.9 percent against the yen , while the dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, was last down 0.1 percent.

Brent crude prices were down 1 percent, on pace for a four-day losing streak and matching a similar run in mid-April, as investor focus returned to global supply, with Iran insisting on a rise in oil exports and U.S. drillers slowing the reduction in rigs. U.S. crude was down 1 percent at $47.90 a barrel.

In the metals market, benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.3 percent at $4,565 a tonne at 1345 GMT.

(Additional reporting by San Forgione in New York, Jamie McGeever and Karolin Schaps in London and Tanya Agrawal in Bengaluru; Editing by Bernadette Baum and Dan Grebler)

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First Published: May 23 2016 | 11:58 PM IST

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