Budget 2018: Has Modi govt delivered on its promise of urban development?

BJP govt faces this situation as it heads into its last full budget before general elections in 2019

With India’s urban population rising by 11 million annually–the equivalent of adding a Bengaluru every year–and urban voters forming a major vote base for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), making money and management available for cities would appear to be a priority.

But promises of smart cities and managing growth to provide jobs and housing for the coming urban population jump from 377 million in 2011 to 600 million in 2031–with 20% of this growth expected to come from rural distress and migration–are, currently, displaying little progress.

Less than a quarter of central funds for four major national programmes for India’s urban renewal have been used, according to an IndiaSpend analysis of government data. Since urban development is a state subject, state governments implement these national schemes with central assistance playing a key role. State and urban bodies are also expected to finance a portion of the program on their own by raising funds from other sources.

A further disaggregation of central funds data from the ministry of housing and urban affairs reveals:

• Upto February 2017–the last release of data–no more than 3% of smart-city projects were completed and 12% of central funds were released;
• With two years to deadline, the Centre–as of July 2017, the last release of data–was still to release 87% of funds for urban infrastructure in 500 cities and towns;
• Upto July 2017, 95.4% of central funds sanctioned for upgrading 12 heritage cities were unused, as the programme’s November 2018 deadline approaches;
• Work on 93% of sanctioned houses–meant to meet 16% of India’s urban housing shortage–was incomplete as of January 2018. The target of housing for all: 2022;
• Little is known of how state governments are raising funds and implementing these programmes.

 

This is the situation facing the BJP government, as it heads into its last full budget before general elections in 2019, at a time when Prime Minister Narendra Modi has promised 100 smart cities and housing for all by 2022.

The urban sector will not just watch how much money is set aside in the 2018-19 budget but also how it is used, as the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) tries to deliver on its promises of urban development and rejuvenation ahead of upcoming assembly elections in eight states and the 2019 general elections.

 

 

Indian cities and towns will become hubs of growth over the next two decades, finance minister Arun Jaitley said on December 2, 2016, acknowledging “a lack of ideas” on how to prepare India for its coming urban explosion.

Besides ideas, implementation of what exists is stuttering, as the much-publicised Smart Cities Mission reveals.

Smart Cities Mission: 3% of projects complete

No more than 3%, or 23, projects of 642 identified by the Smart Cities Mission were completed by February 2017, valued at Rs 305 crore (of Rs 38,021 crore available), the government told the Lok Sabha that month.

Work on another 65 or 10% of projects valued at Rs 2,737 crore had just begun. Of the remaining, 554 (86%) projects were “at various stages of implementation”, the government said.

The Smart Cities Mission is supposed to transform 100 cities into “smart cities” by 2022, through the application of information and communications technology to manage basic services, such as water supply, sanitation, housing, waste management and mobility.

With a budget of Rs 48,000 crore, the Centre was to invest Rs 500 crore per city, with a matching contribution from the state government, through private investments in projects. The mission could be implemented either as a “pan-city” programme that infuses public infrastructure with information technology (IT) or as an “area-based development” that builds IT infrastructure in a smaller area.

In 2015, the first year of the Mission, 20 smart cities were chosen based on applications made by state governments, rising to 99 by January 2018.

 

 

During the financial years 2015-16 and 2016-17, Rs 5,962 crore or 12% of the Mission’s total outlay for five years, had been released to the chosen smart cities, according to this February 2017 response to the Lok Sabha, Parliament’s lower house.

For 2017-18, the Centre’s budget for the Mission was Rs 4,000 crore. Up to March 2017, 80% or 32 of 40 smart cities that had received central assistance had not received matching funds from their respective state governments, according to the latest available government data.

These 32 cities are from 18 states: Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chandigarh, Chhattisgarh, Delhi, Gujarat, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Punjab, Rajasthan, Telangana and Tripura.

Urban rejuvenation: 3 years on, 87% of funds to states not released

While the urban affairs ministry has not yet made public the progress of the Atal Mission for Rejuvenation and Urban Transformation (AMRUT), 13% of the Rs 50,000 crore budgeted had been released up to July 2017.

To meet the Mission’s target, states and UTs must complete their projects by 2020. Launched in 2015-16, AMRUT is centrally sponsored with a budget of Rs 50,000 crore for five years ending 2019-20.

Like its predecessor, the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission, the AMRUT programme aims to develop basic urban infrastructure, with a focus on water supply, sewerage, septage management and stormwater drains. The mission also considers funding urban transport, green spaces and parks, with specific provisions for senior citizens and differently abled-friendly persons. It sets aside 10% of its budget for incentives to states for achieving milestones in urban reforms.

AMRUT is being implemented in 500 cities and towns nationwide, including state capitals, 12 heritage cities and a few urban centres along main rivers and tourist destinations.

Under AMRUT, the Centre funds state plans that it clears; plans of 18 states and union territories (UTs) have been cleared up to 2019-20, the mission’s end date, as the government told the Lok Sabha in this July 2017 response.

 

Source: Lok Sabha

 

To monitor AMRUT’s progress, the ministry said it “undertakes various review meetings and video-conferencing at national/regional and state level with concerned state government officials”.

Heritage cities: Deadline 9 months away, 4.6% funds used

In July 2017, with 16 months to its deadline, no more than 5.6% of Rs 417 crore sanctioned had been used for the national Heritage City Development and Augmentation Yojana (HRIDAY) programme, according to government data submitted to the Lok Sabha.

Launched in January 2015 with a Rs-500 crore budget and November 2018 deadline, the programme hopes to develop 12 selected heritage cities across India: Ajmer, Amaravati, Amritsar, Badami, Dwarka, Gaya, Kanchipuram, Mathura, Puri, Varanasi, Velankanni and Warangal.

“The scheme aims to preserve and revitalise soul of the heritage city to reflect the city’s unique character by encouraging aesthetically appealing, accessible, informative & secured environment,” the programme statement said. HRIDAY planned to give a fillip to the cities’ core infrastructure, especially around heritage assets, as recognised by the ministry of culture and state governments.

 

 

In nearly half or five of 12 cities–Badami, Dwarka and Bet Dwarka, Gaya, Mathura and Puri– none of the funds sanctioned had been used.

Most funds or Rs 5.8 crore had been used in Varanasi, the Prime Minister’s constituency, and Amritsar. Although Varanasi claims to have completed 43% of its projects, the city has used no more than 6.4% of the funds released. Similarly Amritsar, despite claiming 37% of work completed, has spent a fifth of the funds released (19.6%), or 9% of the funds sanctioned.

 

Central Assistance Approved, Released & Utilised Under HRIDAY
City	Funds Sanctioned(Rs Crore)	Funds released (Rs Crore)	Funds Utilised (Rs Crore)	Progress made(In %)	Expected Finish date
Amritsar	61.82	29.52	5.8	37	Feb 2018
Ajmer	36.06	21.51	4.54	19	Mar 2018
Amaravati	18.98	11.19	2.46	46	Dec 2017
Badami	19.18	4.04	0	0	Nov 2018
Dwarka & Bet Dwarka	35.67	6.06	0	7	June 2018
Gaya	35.27	13.09	0	0	Nov 2018
Kancheepuram	18.04	13.49	2.66	15	Nov 2017
Mathura	33.89	11.55	0	6	Nov 2018
Puri	20.68	7.48	0	2	Nov 2018
Varanasi	90.66	50.57	5.83	43	Dec 2017
Velankanni	11.63	5.01	0.17	9	Dec 2017
Warangal	35.27	18.24	2.14	13	Nov 2018
Total	417.15	191.75	23.6

Source: Lok Sabha; Data up to July 2017

 

Urban Housing: 93% of houses under construction

 

With four years left to its target date, 16% of 3.2 million houses for the urban poor were cleared for construction and no more than 6.5% had been built, and foundations had not been laid for 55%, according to this Lok Sabha response from January 2, 2018.

 

 

Like its predecessor, the Rajiv Awas Yojana, the NDA’s PMAY, or the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (Urban)–the Prime Minister’s Housing Programme (Urban)–hopes to ensure all eligible urban poor own a pucca or solid house by 2022.

 

The programme includes: Providing “in situ” slum redevelopment (or slum redevelopment at the same location) through private developers; extending credit-linked subsidies (or a subsidised credit line) for the poor so they can afford low-cost homes; creating affordable housing stock through partnerships with the private developers; and offering subsidies to those who build or improve their own houses.

 

Source: Lok Sabha
*For Sikkim and Nagaland, data on houses completed are up to July 2017.

 

The slow progress is symptomatic of the slow trickle of funds from the Centre to states and UTs over three years to 2018.

Since its launch in 2015, the ministry has so far released Rs 12,045 crore, or a quarter of the Rs 49,562 budgeted, to states and UTs for 3.2 million houses.

 

Source: Lok Sabha; data up to 2017-18

 

Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh showed the most progress in completion of housing projects, and received most funding; Goa and Chandigarh received among the least assistance, and has few completed units, according to an IndiaSpend analysis of this data from the housing and urban affairs ministry.

(Saldanha is an assistant editor with IndiaSpend.)

Reprinted with permission from IndiaSpend.org, a data-driven, public-interest journalism non-profit organisation. You can read the original article here.