After a severe dent due to the lockdown, consumption seems to be on a gradual rise. Imports, a marker of consumption, grew 7.5% in December. Rising oil prices may have controlled the fall in oil imports but non-oil imports, which were the first to slip when the crisis began, are now recovering faster.
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RBI's latest bulletin showed that this recovery was broad-based, as imports grew in 20 of the 30 major sectors. If this continues, the consumption engine that makes for close to 60% of the economy, may hold up the economy. If preliminary data for January moves in the same direction, the Budget may account for a higher revenue through import duties and GST.
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