Andhra Pradesh is the only exception in terms of per capita income among the five states that Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has chosen to bring about development in the eastern part of the country. Its per capita income has been higher than the national average for the last 10 years, while others in the group struggle to catch up.
However, Andhra's per capita income has been the lowest among the southern states in these 10 years. Telangana, the state carved out of Andhra in 2014, has been more prosperous than its truncated parent if per capita income is taken to be the indicator of prosperity. For instance, Andhra's per capita income is projected to be Rs 242,479 in 2023-24, according to data released by the ministry of statistics and programme implementation (MoSPI), while Telangana is projected to have 1.4 times that, at Rs 347,299.
Tamil Nadu, too, is pegged at a higher per capita income than Andhra, at Rs 313,955, while Karnataka is projected at Rs 332,926 during 2023-24. The figure for Kerala was Rs 263,945 on this count even during 2022-23, which is the latest data available for the state.
In this year’s Budget, presented on July 23, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman spoke about the Purvodaya scheme for all-round development of five states in the eastern region: Bihar, Odisha, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Andhra Pradesh. The scheme will cover human resource development, infrastructure, and generation of economic opportunities in these states.
“We will formulate a plan, Purvodaya, for the all-round development of the eastern region of the country... This will cover human resource development, infrastructure, and generation of economic opportunities to make the region an engine to attain Viksit Bharat (developed India),” the finance minister said in her Budget speech.
Critics have wondered why Andhra alone was chosen from among the southern states, while others, particularly Tamil Nadu, were left out.
Per capita income
When it comes to the other states in Purvodaya — Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal — the situation is much worse than Andhra’s. Bihar is trying to reach a third of the national average in its per capita income, which was less than Rs 55,000 in 2022-23, while the national average stood at more than Rs 169,000.
The situation in the mineral-rich Jharkhand is only slightly better. Its per capita income is higher than one third of the national average, but the state is struggling to make it to 60 per cent.
The situation in the other two states — Odisha and West Bengal — is not as bad as in Bihar and Jharkhand, but they were still trying to come on par with the national average in terms of per capita income. Odisha had less per capita income, at Rs 63,345, than West Bengal’s Rs 68,876 in 2014-15, but the situation has changed. In 2023-24, Odisha had Rs 161,437, against West Bengal’s Rs 154,119.
Size of economy
When it comes to the size of the economy, Jharkhand is the smallest of the five, despite being rich in minerals. The size of its economy has ranged between 1.5 per cent and 1.7 per cent of the national economy since 2014-15. However, it was also due to the fact that the state is the smallest in terms of area and population.
Jharkhand’s population stood at 33 million, according to the 2011 census, against 104 million in Bihar, 42 million in Odisha, and 91 million in West Bengal. It is spread over 79,716 square km of area, against 94,163 for Bihar, 155,707 for Odisha, and 88,752 for West Bengal.
Own tax revenue
In terms of own tax revenues (OTR), Andhra Pradesh is the best placed among the five states. However, in some years, such as 2015-16, West Bengal had higher OTR in proportion to revenue receipts.
Bihar has the worst OTR, while Jharkhand and Odisha are in close competition. There is no reason to believe that introduction of the goods and services tax (GST) from July 2017 has brought any marked improvement under this head for any of these five states.
Capital outlays
Even after that, Andhra and West Bengal spent the least proportion of their gross domestic product (GSDP) on capital outlays, which are the part of capital expenditure spent on generating assets, among these five states.
The reason for that could be a higher proportion of expenditure that these two states spend on the revenue heads. For instance, Andhra Pradesh spent 95.7 per cent of its expenditure on the revenue head in 2022-23, while it was 90.8 per cent in the case of West Bengal. The proportion was 84.6 in case of Bihar, 78.5 in case of Odisha (revised estimates) and Jharkhand.
Sovereign debt
Except for Odisha, all the four states have had sovereign debt in excess of 30 per cent of their respective GSDP in recent years. In the case of West Bengal, it has always been the case in these 10 years. The state never had debt below 35 per cent, except in 2014-15 and that too marginally.
Employment
West Bengal has had the unemployment rate less than the national average in each of the six years for which data is available, while Jharkhand has had so in five years. Only in 2017-18, Jharkhand had a higher unemployment rate than the all-India level. All the other three states have a higher unemployment rate than the national average, at least in recent years.
The unemployment data is taken from the periodic labour force survey (PLFS) and does not show disguised unemployment in agriculture. Much of the employment is in casual and low paid jobs.