 "Warmer days ahead as IMD predicts above average temperature in November")
The above-normal minimum temperatures are most likely to prevail over several parts of India except in some areas of the northwest in November, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday.
The weather office also said that India experienced its warmest October since 1901with the average minimum temperature hitting 26.92 degrees Celsius, 1.23 degrees above the normal October average.
Predicting a warmer November, the department gave no hint about the upcoming winter.
“We (IMD) do not give any forecast on the onset of winter in the country, and we do not even consider November as winter,” said IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra.
He said IMD considers the December to February period as winter, and forecasts for these months will be made later.
Mohapatra explained that the minimum temperatures will be ‘above normal’ over several parts of north-west and central India during the first half of this month due to below-normal rainfall in these parts.
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The Met department said that above-normal maximum temperatures are most likely to be over northeast and east-central India and some parts of northwest and Peninsular India.
Normal to below normal maximum temperatures are likely over west-central India and adjoining areas of northwest India and north peninsular India.
On El Nino, the department said that currently neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions were prevailing over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean and neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions over the Indian Ocean.
“The latest global model forecasts indicate a higher chance of La Niña conditions developing during November-December, 2024 and neutral IOD conditions are likely to continue over the Indian Ocean during the next several months,” it said.
On the rainfall forecast for November 2024, the IMD said that monthly rainfall over South Peninsular India consisting of five meteorological subdivisions (Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikkal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, Rayalaseema, Kerala and Mahe and South Interior Karnataka) is most likely to be above normal (at over 123 per cent of Long Period Average (LPA)).
Overall, monthly rainfall over the country as a whole in November is most likely to be normal (77-123 per cent of LPA).
“Normal to above normal rainfall is likely over most parts of the country except northwest India and some areas of central India where below normal rainfall is likely during November 2024,” it said.