Reliance Jio IPO worth $100 bn set for 2025, retail to debut much later

Billionaire Mukesh Ambani targets a 2025 Mumbai listing for his telecom business Jio, valued by analysts at over $100 billion, and plans to launch his retail unit’s initial public offering (IPO) much later, two people familiar with the matter said.

 

Reliance Industries’ boss Ambani hasn't updated his IPO timelines after saying in 2019 that Reliance Jio and Reliance Retail would “move towards" a listing within five years.

 

In recent years, Ambani, Asia’s richest man, raised $25 billion collectively for digital, telecom, and retail businesses from the likes of KKR, General Atlantic and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, valuing both ventures at above $100 billion.

 

The two sources said Reliance has now firmed up plans to launch the Reliance Jio IPO in 2025 as it internally believes it has achieved a stable business and revenue stream in becoming India’s No. 1 telecom player with 479 million subscribers.

 

But the retail business IPO is not expected until after 2025 as the company first needs to address some internal business and operational challenges, said the first source.

 

Oil-to-retail conglomerate Reliance Industries did not respond to a request for comment.

 

Reliance Jio is set to lock horns with Elon Musk if he launches his Starlink internet service in India, and Jio, which is also backed by Google and Meta, has partnered with Nvidia to develop AI infrastructure.

 

The sources said there was no internal decision yet on a valuation of Reliance Jio and bankers haven't yet been appointed, but Jefferies in July pegged the company's estimated IPO valuation at $112 billion.

 

Reliance, however, aims for the 2025 Jio IPO to be India's biggest ever, overtaking Hyundai India's record $3.3 billion IPO this year, said the first source.

 

Both the sources, who declined to be named as the discussions are private, said the IPO timelines can still change.

 

Indian markets recently scaled record highs and by October, 270 companies had raised $12.58 billion from Indian IPOs this year, eclipsing the $7.42 billion raised in all of 2023.

 

Retail fixes needed

 

Reliance’s current thinking is to not list the retail unit in the same year as Jio, as it doesn't want to hit the market with two big IPOs around the same time, said both the sources.

 

More critically, the first source said, there are "operational issues" Reliance internally wants to fix at the retail unit, which runs India's biggest grocery store network of 3,000 supermarkets, before going for an IPO.

 

The company has grown "too fast" and ventured into various retail formats, including e-commerce, and some of its brick-and-mortar stores have clocked losses over years leading to less than ideal earnings per square feet of space, said the person.

 

Reliance Retail's empire includes fashion, grocery and electronic stores, and it has ventured into e-commerce in recent years to take on Amazon. It is now expanding into faster deliveries to tap the boom in quick commerce, a new shopping rage where products are being delivered in 10 minutes.

 

It reported a 1.1 per cent year-on-year decline in sales in July-September, its first quarterly sales fall in at least three years, as competition from quick commerce startups is seen eating into its share of supermarket sales.

 

Bernstein last year valued the business, which owns toy retailer Hamleys and has forged partnerships in India with brands such as Jimmy Choo, Marks & Spencer and Pret A Manger, at $112 billion.

 

Jio Platforms, which houses the telecom and digital businesses, is 33 per cent owned by foreign investors after raising $17.84 billion in recent years. Reliance Retail sold around a 12 per cent stake to foreign investors over the same period and raised $7.44 billion. 

PLAN AFOOT 

> Jefferies values Reliance Jio IPO at $112 bn

> Reliance sees telecom business as stable

> Retail debut much later as it needs to fix operational issues