When Mr. Pranab Mukherjee quoted from Shakespeare's 'Hamlet' to joke about the tough job FM has towards ensuring the interest of a range of stakeholders - one couldn’t help but think of the “har friend zaroori hai, yaar” reference and empathise with the challenge involved in leading this mammoth task.
Given slowing growth of the economy and rising inflation, the Finance Minister has had a difficult job of devising the country's economic plans for FY2012-13. Despite challenges, the Government has been able to deliver a practical and inclusive budget for the next fiscal - one that reinforces the treatment of the Union Budget as a process rather than an event.
The FM's strategy towards fiscal consolidation will play an eminent role in containing challenges faced by the economy and contribute towards 7.6% GDP growth projection for 2012-13. With ongoing long term focus on planned fiscal deficit reduction, the budget proposes noteworthy reforms across manufacturing and infrastructure which should boost employment.
Reforms announced are expected to add thrust to agriculture and power sector growth and should contribute towards revival of the aviation industry. Enhanced focus on Governance as evident in measures like UID funding will surely enhance the disposable income in the rural areas and prevent leakages within the system. Reduction in subsidy is a welcome move, but the process of implementation needs to be detailed out further.
The other laudable effort lies in the definite move towards, Direct Tax Code, GST regime, FDI in multi-brand retail - but it will be meaningful to set a deadline for the same.
The telecom sector is already burdened with multiple and high tax levies which account for 30% of the telecom services revenue. The rise in Service Tax from 10% to 12% will increase cost of services to customers and also impact the P&L of telecom companies.
As a highly taxed industry, this will certainly have a further impact on the consumer. We see proposals on mobile-based fertiliser subsidy tracking and heightened IT enablement as factors that will as opportunities to drive the growth of ICT.
Additionally, FM's recommendation for gap funding of telecom towers, cables and optic fibres should lead to reduction in cost of capital
for telecom infrastructure. Reduction on duties on mobile parts should enhance affordability and stimulate demand for mobile services across the country.
However we must keep in mind that the life the telecom sector does not wholly depend on the budget pronouncement- only the sentiment needs to be positive. We hope this budget will be a harbinger of a healthy telecom policy, which would be inclusive and enable viability of the industry at large.
