Strong domestic travel in China, India, Australia offsets the fall in global travel.
International air passenger traffic fell 1.5 per cent in November compared to October, though it was 4.0 per cent more than that in November 2010, the International Air Transport Association (Iata) has said.
In its monthly report on air industry activity, Iata said the international travel market had grown only 0.5 per cent since May, although domestic air travel had increased more strongly.
The international passenger market has grown fastest in Latin America, Europe and West Asia this year. However, that in Europe slowed sharply, with year-on-year growth of 4.9 per cent in November, barely half the 9.5 per cent in the year to date.
The global air travel market, including both domestic and international flights, shrank 0.5 per cent from October, but remained 4.3 per cent higher than that in November 2010, Iata said.
Iata represents 240 airlines, comprising 84 per cent of global air traffic, including British Airways owner International Airlines Group, Air China, American Airlinesand Deutsche Post DHL.
Domestic air travel in China, India and Australia grew in November, offsetting some of the decline in international travel. China’s domestic market grew 17.2 per cent in the past year, partly because of a weak November 2010.
However, there is a strong contrast between the spare capacities available in different domestic markets.
This year’s surge in China’s domestic traffic outstripped a hefty 13.3 per cent rise in capacity, keeping seats filled 80.7 per cent of the time in November, which Iata said helped local airlines generate good profits. Chinese carriers include China Southern and China Eastern.
US domestic carriers managed to do even better by keeping planes 83.4 per cent full in November, having cut capacity faster than the market could shrink over the past year.
By comparison, India’s domestic airline capacity increased 17.3 per cent in the past year, leaving seats empty despite 10.7 per cent market growth. Indian airlines, which include firms such as Jet Airways and Kingfisher, still managed to fill 76.8 per cent of available capacity on domestic flights in November, more than their counterparts in Brazil and Japan, where domestic flights were just over 65 per cent full.
Faced with a slowdown in trade, freight carriers have also been cutting capacity, but spare capacity has increased because of deliveries of new twin-aisle passenger aircraft that have more room for cargo, Iata said.
The increase in spare capacity is undermining cargo profitability, it said. In the first 11 months this year, 4.1 per cent more freight capacity has been available than in the same period in 2010. But the global market shrunk 0.7 per cent and only 45.9 per cent of available space was filled.
However, in November, international air freight traffic inched up 0.5 per cent from October, despite remaining 3.8 per cent below the level of November 2010.
As in passenger travel, domestic markets for freight are looking healthier than international demand. Domestic freight markets grew 4.4 per cent, compared to October, while the global market grew 1.1 per cent.
But Iata warned against optimism, citing the Purchasing Managers’ Index, which it said was persisting at levels that indicated contraction. “A further weakening of air travel and freight markets in the months ahead looks likely,” it said.
