Global rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) said India is on track for an economic recovery in the fiscal year ending March 2022 with consistently good performance in agriculture, a flattening of the Covid-19 infection curve, and a pick-up in government spending are all supporting the economy.
However, the economy still faces major risks as it transitions from stabilisation to recovery. India faces a permanent loss of output versus its pre-pandemic path, suggesting a long-term production deficit equivalent to about 10 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
India needs many things to be right for its recovery to continue.