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Bonds to be hit hardest by inflation shock in India, Russia, Mexico

The fixed-income securities of the three countries appear the most vulnerable to any surge in consumer prices, according to a Bloomberg study of 10 emerging markets

Within food items, vegetables, fruits, pulses and sugar remained in deflation in March
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While the bulk of the upside surprise in Indian inflation has been due to rising food prices, there are less price pressures elsewhere in the economy due to local lockdowns to contain the virus.

Marcus Wong, Livia Yap | Bloomberg
If the recent spike up in U.S. inflation numbers is a sign of things to come for global markets, that could prove especially bad news for investors in Indian, Russian and Mexican bonds.

The fixed-income securities of the three countries appear the most vulnerable to any surge in consumer prices, according to a Bloomberg study of 10 emerging markets. Their real bond yields are the lowest in the group versus their three-year average, giving them the smallest margin to spare if the nascent inflation signs prove the harbinger of a global price shock.

On the flip-side, the bonds of South Africa and

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