The total outgo to states on account of the Twelfth Finance Commission's (TFC) recommendations is expected to be around Rs 30,000 crore a year. |
This will include the benefits states will get because of higher devolution, significantly higher non-Plan grants, a reduction in the interest rate on outstanding debt to 7 per cent and an extension of the repayment period to 20 years. |
The commission's recommendations will be in effect for the next five years (2005-10). It has also recommended increasing the share of the divisible pool of central taxes and revenues for states to 30.5 per cent. |
The TFC is also reported to have recommended that the Centre should do away with Plan loans to states and allow them to go in for market borrowings. |
Therefore, if the recommendations are accepted, the Centre will continue to give states the 30 per cent grant component of central assistance and do away with the 70 per cent loan component. |
The commission has said such a move, along with the sharp increase in the non-Plan grants recommended in its report, will help improve the fiscal position of states. |
Whether the recommendations will be applicable to all non-special category states or to a limited number of fiscally-responsible states is, however, not clear. |
Doing away with Plan loans will be favourable with states, especially in the case of social sector schemes like those for education, which do not generate any returns. |
The argument for doing away with Plan loans is expected to be that, in order to get a grant of Rs 30 as part of its Plan, the state has to take a loan of Rs 70 from the Centre. |
In the case of social sectors, where there are no monetary returns, forcing a state to take a loan will mean worsening its debt position, as it will have no commensurate increase in revenue to show for an investment. |
In addition, states are likely to get equalisation grants to develop their health infrastructure. The equalisation principle is based on the Canadian experience, where states with a fiscal potential below the national average get a grant from the Centre equal to the difference between the national average and their tax-raising potential. |
This ensures that citizens in all states get a comparable level of services. |
The report will be tabled in Parliament, along with an action taken report, during the Budget session which starts on February 20. |