Business Standard

Indian economy expected to grow 7%: How GDP forecasts changed in 3 years

The average variation in value added is 1.5 percentage points between the first and last estimates

Indian economy, GDP
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A closer look at GDP variations also indicates the directions of these revisions and the factors contributing to these variations

Ishaan Gera New Delhi
On January 6, India released its first estimate of the full-year real gross domestic product (GDP), which represents the value of goods and services produced in the economy adjusted for inflation, projecting a 7 per cent growth over the last year. However, a Business Standard analysis indicates that GDP may undergo a full percentage point revision once the final numbers are released after three years.
 
On the output side, there are higher variations as the gross value added can undergo an average 1.5 percentage point variation from the first advance estimate to the final.
 
Analysis shows that in 2020-21,

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