Inflation to go below 4.5% by July: CEA Krishnamurthy Subramanian

Says vegetable prices may moderate after fresh harvest in March

Chief Economic Advisor Krishnamurthy Subramanian on Thursday said that he expects consumer price index (CPI)-based inflation to come down to sub-4.5 per cent levels by July, a day after headline inflation was stated to have touched its highest level in 68 months.
 
Speaking to reporters, Subramanian said that vegetable prices in general, and onion prices in particular, are expected to moderate after a fresh harvest in March. “I expect the headline inflation to converge back to core around July-August. Headline inflation should be around 4.2-4.5. The convergence should happen by July,” Subramanian said.
 
Retail inflation for January came