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Rupee @52: Bad for markets, economy but good for few

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Press Trust of India Mumbai

A sharp plunge in rupee value to below Rs 52 per US dollar level may be a bad news for the stock markets and the overall economy, but has also brough cheers to certain segments, experts believe.

Stock markets have fallen sharply and concerns are being raised about a slowdown in economic growth momentum in the backdrop of a sharp rupee depreciation, while worries are also mounting about further surge in inflation.

However, a weaker rupee could mean good news for the NRIs and others remitting money from abroad to their families back in India, as also for those having invested in overseas mutual funds and the expats working in India with income in foreign currencies like the US dollar and expenses in rupee.

 

The rupee on Tuesday hit a record low of Rs 52.73 against the US dollar, as investors exited from riskier emerging markets as well as euro zone assets, and made their bet on dollar -- which is seen as a "safe heaven" at times of crisis.

Some recovery was seen in the rupee this morning, but it remained above the 52-level and the analysts believe a further drop was still a possibility. The experts say that there are chances of a fall to as low as 55-level, as emerging market currencies are quite vulnerable to the euro zone debt crisis.

Amid a plunge in rupee value, the stock market tanked today with a fall of over 500 points in the benchmark Sensex during the intra-day trade.

But weaker rupee turns out to be good for those who depend on remittances from abroad, as the Indian currency has not only slipped against the dollar, but also against most other major currencies like the euro, British pound, Australian dollar and Kuwati dinar.

One US dollar gets a little over Rs 52 now, which is nearly 17% more than what it did at the beginning of the year, similarly the British pound brings Rs 81, (up 16%), euro brings Rs 70.19 (up 17.27%) and Australian dollar Rs 50.90 (up 11.30%).

Besides, for those people who are planning a visit to India now, are cheering as they will get good bargain for their home country currencies here. That gives them more spending power in this country than other favorite destinations like Singapore and Thailand.

Each Thai bhat now cost Rs 1.66, which is 12.16% higher than the level at the beginning of this year, while the Singapore currency has appreciated 14.88% against to touch Rs 39.96 per dollar.

"A weak rupee makes India a cheaper destination. We are getting a lot of bookings from tourists coming into India as this is the peak season," hotel major Starwood India's Managing Director Dilip Puri said.

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First Published: Nov 23 2011 | 4:22 PM IST

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