Business Standard

StatsGuru: Examining India's contentious free-trade pact with Asean

As India examines its free-trade agreements, a look at the trade numbers with Asean

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Business Standard
The new commerce minister has announced that India's free-trade agreements (FTAs) are being reviewed. Many in industry have objected to the FTA with Asean in particular. They usually use Table 1 as an explanation: Both imports and exports from and to Asean have climbed since the FTA came into effect on January 1, 2010, but exports have failed to close the gap with imports.






But, as Table 2 shows, as a proportion of India's overall imports, imports from Asean have not changed vastly since before the FTA was signed - though export share has seen an impact.

 
Further, it is not helpful to look at Asean overall. As Table 3 shows, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam dominate Indian trade with the region.


But, as Table 4 shows, exports and imports have gone in different directions with those countries over the past decade


The composition of trade with Asean is shown in Table 5. Fuel accounts for a large proportion of both exports and imports. But India exports a lot of meat, and iron & steel; and imports a lot of vegetable oil and electrical equipment.


Finally, what goods trade has been affected? As Table 6 shows, meat, cereals, tea & coffee, iron & steel, and cars have seen a big export push.


And Table 7 shows rubber, machinery, cars - and articles made from iron & steel, have seen an import push. Oddly, vegetable imports have declined, too.

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First Published: Sep 01 2014 | 10:11 AM IST

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