Madhya Pradesh – 28 seats
Advantage BJP; Congress requires a clean sweep
In March 2020, 22 sitting MLAs of the Kamal Nath-led Congress government defected to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), leading to the fall of the 15-month-old government. Three other MLAs followed Jyotiraditya Scindia when he quit the Congress and the Assembly. Three vacancies arose after the death of sitting MLAs.
The defections might not have mattered (indeed, they might not have happened at all) had the Kamal Nath government not been so precariously placed. In the 2018 Assembly election, the Congress