India's biggest buyers of bad loans are predicting record business for the industry this quarter as central bank incentives prod banks to speed up efforts to cut stressed assets.
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan set lenders a March 2017 deadline to clean up their balance sheets and gave those completing a deal by this March consent to spread losses from the distressed-asset sale over two years. The measures may encourage disposal of bad debts worth as much as Rs 40,000 crore ($5.9 billion) before April, according to Edelweiss Asset Reconstruction, the top purchaser.
"This will be a record quarter in terms of bad loans bought by asset-reconstruction companies," Siby Antony, chief executive officer at the unit of Mumbai-based Edelweiss Financial Services, said in a phone interview. "Banks are offering better prices and terms."
Rajan needs to clear non-performing assets to reverse a slowdown in bank lending that has complicated his efforts to boost growth in Asia's third-largest economy. Credit-default swaps protecting notes of the largest lender, State Bank of India, considered a proxy for the sovereign, have climbed the most since September this month. India's finance ministry trimmed its economic growth forecast for the year through March, to as low as seven per cent last month, down from a previous forecast of eight per cent.
The proportion of Indian lenders' stressed assets, which include restructured and soured loans, to total advances surged to a 14-year high of 11.3 per cent as on September 30, creating opportunities for firms such as Edelweiss, among the 15 asset-reconstruction companies (ARCs), formed based on a law passed in 2002 to help reorganise non-performing credit.
"We will be keen to buy stressed assets this quarter and have enough capital to buy up to Rs 10,000 crore," said Vishal Kampani, managing director at J M Financial. The Mumbai-based company's ARC unit has a market share of 18 per cent, data available on it website show, making it the third-largest player.
Rajan and senior RBI officials met with lenders, non-banking financial companies and ARCs on Monday "to discuss the current challenges, with regard to the management of stressed assets in the banks' books and the implementation of the various measures taken by the" monetary authority in this regard, according to a statement on its website.