BS monetary policy poll: Majority see 25-bps rate cut in Oct 4 meet

Inflation to stay within 4% target, say economists

A rate cut is almost certain in the October 4 monetary policy review to lift economic growth, expect economists and market participants at large, but the quantum varies from 15 basis points (bps) to 40 bps. One of the 15 participants polled even predicts a pause. Economists, however, differ on whether there will be room for further cuts, especially after the recent tax breaks given to the corporate sector, which is expected to create demand and boost growth. 

Besides, there is a nagging discomfort that the banking system has not really passed on the 110-bp rate cut since February to the