Business Standard

Economy fears dent shares, bonds rally

MARKETS-GLOBAL:Economy fears dent shares, bonds rally

Image

Reuters By Leah Schnurr</p>NEW YORK
new York  July 13, 2012, 1:12 IST

new York  07 13, 2012, 01:20 IST

 

Fears about the world economic outlook hurt global shares on Thursday as the euro fell to a new two-year low and investors pushed into safe-haven U.S. government bonds.

U.S. debt yields neared historic lows as prices extended gains in the afternoon after the sale of $13 billion of reopened 30-year Treasury bonds brought a record low auction yield.

Jitters about what the euro zone crisis and softer economy will mean for company profits bruised Wall Street, though stocks came off their lows as the benchmark S&P 500 index found technical support.

 

"The market is focused on what's unfolding in Europe. Clearly the hemorrhaging in Europe is affecting our markets," said Michael Strauss, chief investment strategist at Commonfund in Wilton, Connecticut, which manages $26 billion in assets.

"Companies operating in Europe are going to have problems and demand is slowing down."

There was some solace from data that showed the number of Americans applying for jobless benefits fell last week to a four-year low, though some of that improvement may be temporary.

But analysts said it did little to sway the view the economic recovery has hit a soft patch.

The weaker-than-expected start to the second-quarter U.S. corporate reporting season, combined with expectations of slower economic growth in the world's leading economies, had encouraged hopes for the Federal Reserve to resume a policy of creating money to lower long-term interest rates, known as quantitative easing, or QE3.

A surprise rate cut in South Korea on Thursday following a 50-basis-point cut by Brazil on Wednesday evening also underscored the growing impact the slowdown was having worldwide.

But the lack of any monetary easing by the Bank of Japan on T Thursday and limited clues in the latest minutes from the Fed's June policy meeting, released on Wednesday, suggest central banks are still cautious about the need for further easing.

The Fed minutes showed the world's biggest economy would have to weaken further before its central bank takes any more easing steps. The minutes did, however, show some officials felt more stimulus was justified.

The dimmed hopes for fresh stimulus in the near-term undermined sentiment in markets early on Thursday.

"The consensus of the market is it's still on table. What is unknown is the trigger for a QE3 move from the Fed," said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.

The euro fell 0.4 percent to $1.2185, after an earlier drop to $1.2165 on Reuters data, the weakest since the end of June, 2010.

The greenback benefited from its safety appeal and the dollar index, which tracks the greenback versus a basket of six currencies, rose to 83.829 <.DXY>, the highest since July, 2010. It was last up 0.2 percent at 83.719.

"As long as the door is open to QE3, it is difficult to see an environment where the dollar can prove materially and sustainably strong," said Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto.

"Accordingly, we continue to expect the euro to trend lower, but avert a collapse."

EQUITIES SHUNNED

The FTSE Eurofirst 300 index <.FTEU3> ended down 1 percent, while the MSCI world equity index was down 0.9 percent, its seventh day of declines in a row.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 3.67 points, or 0.03 percent, at 12,608.20. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was down 3.43 points, or 0.26 percent, at 1,338.02. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was down 17.76 points, or 0.61 percent, at 2,870.22.

Hellwig said the S&P had found support at its 50-day moving average around 1,334.

"We tested it and bounced, but the flavor of the market is still somewhat tenuous," he said.

Technology shares have been among the worst performers recently, bogged down by profit warnings from companies such as Advanced Micro Devices Inc and Applied Materials Inc . For the month, the S&P technology sector <.GSPT> is down nearly 4 percent and the PHLX semiconductor sector <.SOX> has lost 8.8 percent.

Benchmark 10-year notes were trading 11/32 higher in price to yield 1.4777 percent, down from 1.52 percent late Wednesday. The 10-year yield is within striking distance of the 1.44 percent level touched in early June, which is the lowest going back to the early 1800s, based on data gathered by Reuters.

Oil prices turned around in afternoon trading, with Brent crude jumping above $101 a barrel after the United States announced increased sanctions against Iran.

Brent crude oil shot up to a session high of $101.36 a barrel and was recently up 77 cents at $101.00. U.S. crude ended up 27 cents to settle at $86.08 a barrel.

Don't miss the most important news and views of the day. Get them on our Telegram channel

First Published: Jul 13 2012 | 1:12 AM IST

Explore News