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JPMorgan says investors should prepare for rising odds of Donald Trump win

People giving inaccurate answers could artificially skew polls in favour of Biden by 5-6%

President Donald Trump speaks with reporters before departing on Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House, in Washington. Photo: PTI
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Biden’s narrowing advantage in polls evokes memories of the 2016 election, when such tallies seemed to favour Hillary Clinton strongly

Joanna Ossinger | Bloomberg
Investors should position for the rising odds of US President Donald Trump winning re-election, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Betting odds that earlier had Trump well behind challenger Joe Biden are now nearly even — largely due to the impact on public opinion of violence around protests, as well as potential bias in polls, said strategist Marko Kolanovic. Based on past research, there could be a shift of 5 to 10 points in polls from Democrats to Republicans if the perception of protests turns from peaceful to violent, he said. People giving inaccurate answers could artificially skew polls in favour

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