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Nikkei suffers worst day in 5 months after weak US jobs data

Stocks tumble 3% as yen hits 4-week high against the dollar

Reuters Tokyo
Asian shares came under pressure on Tuesday, with Japanese stocks tumbling more than 3% as the yen hit a four-week high against the dollar after last week's surprisingly weak jobs report raised concerns about the US growth outlook.

European stocks were expected to wake up on the grumpy side, with Britain's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40 seen opening down as much as 0.7%, according to financial bookmakers.

Tokyo's Nikkei sagged 3.1% in relatively active trade, hitting a one-month low and posting its biggest one-day decline in five months as investors there were drawn into the fallout from the nonfarm payroll report following Monday's public holiday in Japan.
 
The Nikkei, like Wall Street, has got off to a slow start to the year after a stellar 2013, with a 57% jump.

Australian shares lost 1.5% on Tuesday as the S&P/ASX 200 index suffered its biggest one day decline in 3-1/2 months following Wall Street's fall overnight, with investors cautious ahead of corporate results and iron ore prices near record lows.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.6% after gaining 0.8% in the previous session as the disappointing US jobs report added to the case for the Fed to keep rates low for longer.

While the weak US jobs report raised doubts about how quickly the Federal Reserve would scale back its stimulus, it also stoked concerns about the pace of recovery in the world's largest economy.

The announcement of a $13.6 billion deal by Japan's Suntory Holdings Ltd to buy US spirits company Beam Inc may offer some support to the dollar versus the yen.

Dollar/yen was one of the strongest-performing major currency trades last year, and many hedge funds have been betting the trend will continue as the Federal Reserve cuts back its bond-buying programme while the Bank of Japan remains committed to providing stimulus.

Given the extent of positions in the market and continued softness in US yields this week, USD/JPY could continue to test lower near-term," analysts at BNP Paribas wrote in a note, adding they expected to see buying interest ahead of 101.50.

Japanese investors were likely to seek higher returns overseas as the yield differential between US government bonds and Japanese government debt widened, further boosting the yen weakness if their investments were not hedged.

"The gradual widening in the rate differential between the US and Japan should also encourage Japanese investors to invest in foreign bonds," Nomura Securities said in a note.

"The expected gradual rise in global yields, while Japanese yields are expected to remain relatively low thanks to the BOJ's JGB investment, should also influence foreign investment in the Japanese market."

YIELD DIFFERENTIAL

The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds eased 3 basis points to 0.650%, a near one-month low, while benchmark US bond were yields were 2.837%.

The dollar was up 0.3% at 103.30 yen, having fallen 1.1% overnight, its biggest one-day slide since September 18 and hitting a four-week low. A stronger yen tends to erode the competitive edge of Japanese exporters abroad and their dollar earnings when repatriated.

Against the Aussie dollar, the greenback bounced 0.2% to $0.9038, having touched a four-week low of $0.9054 on Monday, while the Australian shares dropped 1.5%, reaching a three-week trough and logging its biggest one-day decline in 3-1/2 month.

The euro was little changed at $1.36655, however.

The dollar was up 0.1% at 80.611 versus a basket of major currencies after touching a one-week low of 80.469 on Monday.

Overnight, US stocks tumbled on caution ahead of corporate results, as mounting negative pre-announcements left a lacklustre profit growth outlook, with the Standard & Poor's 500 off 1.3%.

According to Thomson Reuters Proprietary Research, almost 10 out of every 11 earnings pre-announcements for the current reporting season from S&P 500 companies have lowered estimates.

US banks are in the spotlight this week, with JPMorgan Chase & Co, Bank of America, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs reporting quarterly earnings.

Among commodities, gold was steady at $1,252.49 per ounce, though it was not far from a four-week high of $1,254.80 set on Monday. The precious metal gained 0.5% overnight to extend Friday's 1.6% rally following the disappointing US employment report.

US crude futures edged 0.1% higher at $91.91 a barrel, stabilising after Monday's 1% decline after news of a deal between Western powers and Iran to curb the OPEC country's nuclear programme and as production resumed from Libya and a key North Sea oilfield.

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First Published: Jan 14 2014 | 12:48 PM IST

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