A global recession, both $140 and $30 oil, the US shale revolution, a market-share war, and output cuts. Opec’s 60-year history has rarely confronted a more challenging period than the past decade.
Now, instead of enjoying the higher prices resulting from 18 months of joint production cuts with a coalition of other major producers, the cartel faces new problems. A tweet-happy American president is ramping up geopolitical risk, renewed sanctions are hammering Iran’s exports, Venezuelan production is tanking as its economy collapses, and a political attack from Washington in the form of the NOpec bill.
The alliance of exporters, spearheaded by Saudi