There's almost a one-in-three chance of a UK recession in the 12 months, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists.
The probability of two consecutive quarters of negative growth has increased to 30 per cent, the highest since the end of 2016, the survey of 10 economists found. That's up from 25 per cent a month ago. It was at 20 per cent or lower for all of 2018.
The survey was conducted February 1-6, before the Bank of England published new forecasts