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US labour market, factory data show economy firming

The US economy has grown at a lacklustre pace in recent months, hurt in part by the impact of federal budget cuts

Reuters Washington
The number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits last week held near a six-year low and US manufacturing activity rose this month, suggesting the economy is starting to find firmer footing.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits climbed 13,000 to 336,000, just above the level expected by economists in a Reuters poll, US Labor Department data showed on Thursday.

Despite the increase, the four-week moving average for claims, which smooths out weekly volatility, fell to its lowest level since November 2007. That backed the widely-held view that US economic growth will accelerate in the second half of the year, and hinted at a stronger pace of hiring in August.
 

"The trend in the data has been signalling some recent improvement in the labour market," said Daniel Silver, an economist at JPMorgan in New York.

Separately, financial data firm Markit said its preliminary index on factory activity rose in August to 53.9, its best showing since March. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

"Hopefully the faster growth of new orders seen during August will translate into increasingly strong production gains," said Markit chief economist Chris Williamson.

The US economy has grown at a lacklustre pace in recent months, hurt in part by the impact of federal budget cuts.

An index of leading economic indicators published on Thursday by the Conference Board rose 0.6 per cent in July, supporting the expectations that growth would accelerate in the remainder of the year.

The generally upbeat data fuelled small gains in US stock prices. Yields on US government debt were little changed.

The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the labour market as it mulls plans to draw down a major economic stimulus programme in which it buys long term bonds to keep borrowing costs low.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said last month that the central bank plans to start scaling back on the program this year, and many economists expect it will begin reducing monthly bond purchases in September.

The claims data was collected during the same week the Labor Department surveys employers for its monthly employment report, and the trend hinted that hiring may pick up during August.

At 330,500, the four-week average was about five per cent lower than it was during the employment report's survey week in July, when employers added a lacklustre 162,000 jobs to payrolls.

Still, economists are wary of the claims report's predictive power for hiring. Employers now appear to be laying off workers at roughly pre-recession levels, yet the pace of hiring has appeared to slow since the spring.

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First Published: Aug 23 2013 | 12:20 AM IST

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