Business Standard

Awaiting the tipping of inflection point

Technicals

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Vijay Bhambwani Mumbai
 The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex ended the day at 3629.68 (up 17.15 points) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) Nifty closed out at 1145.90 (up 05.35 points).

 The market breadth was positive as the ratio of advances to declines on the two exchanges combined stood at 1461 : 1264.

 Traded volume on the BSE was Rs 1,436 crore, while on the NSE it stood more than twice that at Rs 3,101 crore.

 The capitalisation of the breadth was also positive as the numbers were Rs 2,449 crore: Rs 2,083 crore on the two bourses taken together.

 The capitalisation of the market breadth shows an even fight between buyers and sellers, with the former having a slight edge.

 The outlook for the trading session on Wednesday is that of cautious optimism, as the players are awaiting the crossover of the 1155 hurdle on the Nifty.

 I think every major player is waiting for the other bull operators to take the index above this inflection point before jumping into the fray.

 That is the reason why the index witnesses a selloff at the 1150-1155 levels.

 On the lower side, expect good short-term support at 1115 levels.

 Among stocks, Mahindra & Mahindra continues to be a market outperformer and is likely to see Rs 175 levels in the near term.

 As long as the counter remains above the Rs 162 mark, stay long in both the cash and the derivatives segments.

 The National Aluminium Company counter is likely to register minor selling pressure as the weaker bulls book profits. Expect support at Rs 115 levels, which should be a good entry point for players with short and medium-term outlooks.

 Vijay Bhambwani

 CEO, BSPLindia.com

 The author is a Mumbai-based investment consultant and invites feedback at vijay@bsplindia.com.

 Sebi disclosure: The author has no exposure in any securities mentioned above.

 

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First Published: Jul 09 2003 | 12:00 AM IST

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