Chilli prices are on the decline. After hitting all-time highs of above Rs 7,000 a quintal last month, the prices have continuously declined in the last fortnight on the back of less demand in the foreign as well as the domestic markets. |
Spot prices on the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) dropped by over 9 per cent from Rs 6,930 a quintal in the beginning of the month to Rs 6,266 on Wednesday. |
The trend is bearish on the futures markets as well with the prices of November and December contracts falling by more than Rs 940 and Rs 798 a quintal respectively. |
"There is no demand from Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, which has led to a correction in the overheated market," said Ashok Dattani, a Mumbai-based chilli trader. |
He added that buyers, especially from Bangladesh, are expected to come back to the market by the end of the month and prices may see some upward rally. |
Normally, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka each account for 3,000 to 5,000 bags (each bag equals 40 kg) a day. The domestic demand, which had picked up since mid-August, has substantially declined, strengthening the bearish sentiments. |
"At present, the stock available in Guntur is around 13 to 14 lakh bags. Of this, the quantity of superior quality chilli stands at 4 lakh bags," added Dattani. |
However, the fall on the futures markets is irrelevant, he said, adding, "One of the reasons for it could be a large amount of inferior chilli in the warehouses," he said. |
This year, chilli production has fallen almost by half from around 2.6 crore bags last year to 1.25 crore bags this year. Market sources attributed the fall to a drop in acreage by 50 per cent. |
Last year, India had an overproduction of 8 lakh tonne followed by a low demand. Consequently, the prices had declined to as low as Rs 1,500 a quintal. |