Business Standard

Optimism looms large

TECHNICALS

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Vijay L. Bhambwani Mumbai
The markets opened on a firm note and proceeded to trade higher through Tuesday. The benchmark indices gained approximately a percentage point as bulls grabbed the initiative from bears.
 
Traded volumes improved compared with Monday's session, which is a positive indicator.
 
The market breadth was highly positive as the ratio of advancing to declining shares on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) combined stood at 2.5 : 1.
 
The capitalisation of the breadth was also positive as the index frontline counters saw hectic buying from bulls as well as short covering by bears.
 
The indices have consolidated their gains of the previous session and the extended upmove has improved the market outlook significantly as compared with the last 3 sessions.
 
The immediate hurdle will be at 1824 levels on the Nifty, which was the significant high of the recent upmove.
 
The support on the downside will be seen at the 1794 levels, below which the bears will attempt a comeback.
 
Traded volumes need to improve to signal a conclusive return of the bulls in the near term. The boost is likely to come from the pharmaceuticals, technology and energy stocks.
 
The outlook for the markets on Wednesday is that of continued optimism as the indices have risen from the support provided by the 30-day simple moving average - a classic bull market indicator.
 
Once the 1824 levels are surpassed conclusively with higher volumes, expect the index to trade in a low resistance trading zone.
 
Trades should be initiated on the long side in Maruti, Glaxo and Ranbaxy for short / medium term gains.

Vijay L. Bhambwani
CEO - BSPLindia.com

The author is a Mumbai-based investment consultant and invites feedback at vijay@BSPLindia.com or (022) 23438482 / 234003345.
 
Sebi disclosure: the author has no outstanding positions in any of the stocks mentioned above.

 
 

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First Published: Nov 03 2004 | 12:00 AM IST

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