Sensex slips 215pts amid volatility post repo rate hike; ITC, RIL weigh
The RBI today raised the repo rate to 4.9 per cent, up from 4.4 per cent. The Central Bank also raised consumer price (CPI) or retail inflation forecast for FY23 to 6.7 per cent from 5.7 per cent.
Closing Bell: Markets slip for 4th day as RBI hikes repo rate by 50 bps; Nifty holds 16,350
Closing Bell: Sensex drops 531 pts from day's high; ends 215 pts lower
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Expert take on RBI policy: Higher interest rate cycle likely to prevail over next few quarters
The RBI monetary policy has largely been in line with expectations, a 50-basis point hike was expected. The initial reaction had been bullish, this does not seem justified, higher interest rates are bound to hurt corporate margins and earnings. We expect this higher interest rate cycle to continue for the next few quarters and see a slowing ecosystem where money supply will be significantly tighter.
Views expressed by Nikhil Kamath, Co-founder, True Beacon and Zerodha
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Expert take on RBI policy: India in a better place to handle macro-economic shocks vs 2008
The RBI rate was widely expected. The priority (rightly so) for the central bank is taming inflation. Given that oil has stayed above $100 consistently and supply shocks from Ukraine and China remain big unknowns, it has had to increase its forecast for inflation from 5.7% to 6.7% for FY23. Inflation may actually end up even higher. What the market does not like is surprises. To that end, the RBI has done a great job in communicating clearly its priorities, setting expectations, acting decisively and swiftly. The silver lining for us is India is in a far better position than 2008 to deal with macro-economic shocks as we navigate choppy waters. Further signaling seems to suggest some more rate hikes are on the way. Any slowdown in inflation or skipping a rate hike would be positive surprises for the market.
Views expressed by Kanika Agarrwal, Co-founder, Upside AI
Expert take on RBI policy: Expect 10-year G-sec yield to cross 8% before 2022-end
We believe RBI is front-loading rate hikes (90bps in 2 months!). We expect another 50bps repo rate hike by the end of FY23 leading to an overall 140bps rate hike in FY23.
Such a steep rise in borrowing costs will affect discretionary spending and dampen the nascent recovery of investments. We think that 10yr G-sec would cross 8% sooner than our earlier projection of - by end of CY22.
Views by Sumit Shekhar, Economist, Ambit Capital.
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First Published: Jun 08 2022 | 8:02 AM IST