Business Standard

The broader buying imperative

TECHNICALS

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Vijay Bhambwani Mumbai
The markets opened on a steady note ended Tuesday with minor losses as bulls displayed a lack of buying conviction at higher levels.
 
Traded volumes were marginally higher than in Monday's session, but was in line with the 10-day average.
 
The breadth was negative for the second day in a row as the ratio of advances to declines on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) combined stood at 1186 : 1428.
 
The capitalisation of the breadth, Rs 3,599 crore (advances) : Rs 3,154 crore (declines) was marginally positive. Derivatives data available for the previous session indicate a slow build-up of long positions.
 
The indices have closed marginally lower than the threshold levels as the Nifty has failed to end above 1640 levels.
 
The BSE Sensex needs to close above 5224 to signal a convincing buy. The support on the lower side will be at 1615 levels on the NSE Nifty on an intra-day basis and as long as the index stays above this level, the upmove will remain intact.
 
Traded volumes need to perk up on the bullish days with broader buying.
 
The outlook for the markets on Wednesday is of cautious optimism as the short-term correction may see some more consolidation before a decisive move occurs in either direction.
 
The index heavyweights will determine the trend in the coming days. Keep a watch on Reliance, Infosys, ONGC and ITC direction guidance.
 
I advocate buying Satyam Computer as the scrip has signalled a breakout from the six-month channel. Buying can be in the cash and derivatives segments. Traded volumes must be curtailed due to the higher volatility expected.

Vijay Bhambwani
CEO, BSPLindia.com

The author is a mumbai based investment consultant and invites feedback at vijay@BSPLindia.com or (022) 23438482 / 23400345.
 
Sebi disclosure: The analyst has no exposure to the scrips mentioned above.

 
 

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First Published: Aug 04 2004 | 12:00 AM IST

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