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The outcome of assembly elections in five states will test the popularity of the BJP - led government, but experts do not extrapolate the outcome to the general elections scheduled for May 2019.

The outcome of assembly elections in five states currently underway will, at best, test the popularity of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) – led government at the centre and its policies, but experts do not extrapolate the outcome to the general elections scheduled for May 2019. This, they say, is due to the fact that the state elections will be fought on local issues rather than a broad-based national agenda. 

“Historical analysis suggests that state election results should not be extrapolated for the prediction of a general election. While it remains more likely that two out of these three states