Key benchmark indices languished in negative terrain in mid-morning trade after a survey showed that India's service sector activity remained weak in January 2014. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, Sensex was down 102.20 points or 0.51%, off about 145 points from the day's high and up close to 30 points from the day's low. The market sentiment was affected adversely by provisional data showing that foreign funds resorted to heavy selling of Indian stocks on Tuesday, 4 February 2014.
Most bank stocks edged lower.
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive.
The market edged lower amid initial volatility after provisional data showed that foreign funds resorted to heavy selling of Indian stocks on Tuesday, 4 February 2014. The 50-unit CNX Nifty fell below the psychological 6,000 mark. The Sensex extended initial losses and hit fresh intraday low in morning trade. The Sensex languished in negative terrain in mid-morning trade after a survey showed that India's service sector activity remained weak in January 2014.
The market sentiment was affected adversely by data showing that foreign funds resorted to heavy selling of Indian stocks on Tuesday, 4 February 2014. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 1234.02 crore on Tuesday, 4 February 2014, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges.
At 11:20 IST, the S&P BSE Sensex was down 102.20 points or 0.51% to 20,109.73. The index dropped 135.83 points at the day's low of 20,076.10 in morning trade. The index rose 42.89 points at the day's high of 20,254.82 in early trade.
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The CNX Nifty was down 27.70 points or 0.46% to 5,973.20. The index hit a low of 5,962.05 in intraday trade. The index hit a high of 6,012.85 in intraday trade.
The BSE Mid-Cap index was up 13.39 points or 0.22% at 6,295.83. The BSE Small-Cap index was up 43.44 points or 0.7% at 6,289.16. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive. On BSE, 1,126 shares rose and 819 shares fell. A total of 112 shares were unchanged.
Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 21 stocks declined and rest rose. Bhel (down 1.84%), ITC (down 2%) and NTPC (down 1.54%) edged lower from the Sensex pack.
Most bank stocks edged lower. HDFC Bank (down 0.15%), ICICI Bank (down 0.91%) and AXIS Bank (down 0.02%) declined.
Kotak Mahindra Bank dropped 0.91%. The private sector bank early this week announced that it has raised interest rates on domestic term deposits of less than Rs 1 crore for select tenor buckets by upto 25 basis points (bps), with effect from 6 February 2014. The bank now offers 9.25% per annum (p.a.) for the 390 day deposit and 9% p.a. for deposits of 181 days-269 days tenor. Senior citizens deposits of less than Rs 1 crore enjoy an additional 50 basis points across maturities. Kotak Mahindra Bank attributed its decision to raise the deposit rates to hike in key policy rates announced by the Reserve Bank of India after monetary policy review on 28 January 2014.
State Bank of India was flat at Rs 1516. The state-run bank early this week said that in respect of the issue of equity shares to Qualified Institutional Buyers in terms of Chapter VIII of the ICDR Regulations, the duly authorized Committee of Directors of the bank for the QIP (the Committee) has, in its meeting held on 3 February 2014, decided to issue and allot 5.13 crore shares at a price of Rs 1,565 per share (including a premium of Rs 1,555 per share), aggregating Rs 8031.64 crore.
Among other PSU bank stocks, Canara Bank, Union Bank of India, Bank of India and Punjab National Bank shed 0.11% to 0.71%.
Vardhman Textiles rose 1.91% after net profit jumped 109.6% to Rs 175.24 crore on 30.7% growth in net sales to Rs 1415.98 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. The Q3 result was announced after market hours on Tuesday, 4 February 2014.
Indoco Remedies rose 1.91% after the company said its Goa-based plant received approval from Czech Republic to manufacture sterile ophthalmic formulation. The company made the announcement after market hours on Tuesday, 4 February 2014.
Indoco Remedies said it has received from State Institute for Drug Control (SUKL), Czech Republic, certificate of Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) Compliance for the Goa Plant II located at L-32,33,34 Verna Industrial Estate, Goa 403722. The certificate pertains to manufacture of sterile ophthalmic formulation.
The plant has been inspected in connection with marketing authorization(s) listing manufacturer, located outside of the European Economic Area in accordance with Art. 111(4) of the Directive 2001/83/EC transposed in the hollowing national legislation: Section 101 paragraph 3 of Act No. 378/2007 COIL., on Pharmaceuticals and on Amendment to Some Reined Acts (the Act of Pharmaceuticals) as amended. From the knowledge gained during inspection of Plant II, the latest which was conducted on 09/11/2013 it is considered that it complies with the principles and guidelines of Good manufacturing Practice laid down in Directive 2003/94/EC, Indoco Remedies said in a statement.
The GMP certificate confirms that the plant fulfills the GMP recommendations of World Health Organisation (WHO), the company said.
HEG rose 0.85% after net profit jumped 284.6% to Rs 44.31 crore on 21% growth in net sales to Rs 423.69 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. The Q3 result was announced after market hours on Tuesday, 4 February 2014. HEG's EBITDA including other income and excluding exceptional items surged 54.79% to Rs 88.54 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.
In the foreign exchange market, the rupee edged higher against the dollar, tracking weakness in the dollar versus majors and other Asian currencies. The partially convertible rupee was hovering at 62.5125, compared with its close of 62.525/535 on Tuesday, 4 February 2014.
Up from 48.1 in December to 49.6 in January, the seasonally adjusted HSBC India Composite Output Index indicated a seventh consecutive monthly drop in private sector activity. But, the rate of contraction was marginal and the weakest in that sequence, Markit Economics said. Whereas manufacturing production growth accelerated, output at services companies fell again.
The headline HSBC Services Business Activity Index increased from December's 46.7 to 48.3 in January, signalling a moderate rate of output contraction that was the weakest in the current seven-month sequence of decrease. Panellists cited tough economic conditions, political issues and lower new order levels as the main reasons behind the fall in output. Service providers reported falling new business received for the seventh month running in January, with respondents commenting on increased competition for new work, deteriorating confidence among clients and weaker underlying demand. Nonetheless, the rate of contraction was slight and the slowest in that sequence. Manufacturing new orders rose at the quickest pace since March 2013. Incoming new work across the Indian private sector as a whole fell, albeit fractionally.
Despite having lower new business, service providers hired additional workers in January. Where job creation was indicated, this was attributed to expectations of higher new orders in coming months. With manufacturing employment also growing, staffing levels across the private sector increased for the second successive month (although slightly). Service providers were optimistic in January that business activity would expand over the next year. Growth is expected to be supported by planned increases in marketing, forecasts of an overall improvement in the Indian economy and stronger demand. Moreover, the degree of positive sentiment was the highest in six months.
Meanwhile, input cost inflation in the Indian private sector economy hit a three-month high, while the rate of charge inflation was little-changed from that seen in December. Manufacturing firms recorded stronger increases in both input and output prices than their service sector counterparts. Outstanding business in the Indian service sector fell in January, while an accumulation was recorded at manufacturers. Across the private sector as a whole, backlogs were unchanged from the levels recorded one month previously.
Sector data highlighted Post & Telecommunication as the best performing services category. This was the only sector to record higher output and new business. Conversely, Financial Intermediation suffered the sharpest declines in both business activity and new orders among the remaining five monitored service sectors, Markit Economics said.
Commenting on the India Services PMI survey, Leif Eskesen, Chief Economist for India & ASEAN at HSBC said: "Service sector activity remains weak and broad based, although Post & Telecommunication led the softening in January. Meanwhile inflation pressures firmed, with input prices rising at a faster pace. Despite the weak growth backdrop, the RBI has to stick to its hawkish bias to get inflation under control and through this eventually pave the way for a recovery in economic activity".
Finance Minister P Chidambaram will present the Vote-on-Account or interim budget on 17 February 2014. The objective of a Vote-on-Account is to get Parliament's nod for expenditure to be incurred in the months prior to elections. The next full-fledged budget will be presented by the new government which comes to power after the Lok Sabha polls in April-May 2014.
The Reserve Bank of India next undertakes monetary policy review on 1 April 2014. Sighting elevated consumer price inflation, the Reserve Bank of India raised its key lending rates by 25 basis points after Third Quarter Review of Monetary Policy for 2013-14 on 28 January 2014.
Asian stocks edged higher on Wednesday, 5 February 2014, after US shares rebounded overnight and Japanese companies posted earnings that cheered investors. Key benchmark indices in Indonesia, Japan, Singapore and South Korea were up 0.19% to 1.23%. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong and Taiwan were off 0.08% to 2.36%
Stock markets in mainland China remain closed until 7 February 2014 for the Lunar New Year holiday.
Trading in US index futures indicated that the Dow could drop 20 points at the opening bell on Wednesday, 5 February 2014. US stocks closed with modest gains on Tuesday, clawing back a fraction of their worst losses since June made a day earlier. Investors welcomed a smaller-than-expected drop in factory orders during December.
The next major event on the horizon is the labor report out of the US, with nonfarm payrolls due on Friday, 7 February 2014.
On Tuesday, 4 February 2014, two Federal Reserve district bank presidents signaled a decline in global stock markets probably won't deter the Fed from further trimming bond buying that has pushed up central bank assets to $4.1 trillion. "The hurdle ought to remain pretty high for pausing in tapering," Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said after a speech in Winchester, Virginia. The fall in equities hasn't affected the outlook for labor market conditions materially at this point, Lacker said. "We linked the asset purchase programs to significant improvement in the outlook for labor market conditions. That has definitely occurred, Lacker said. "The committee is always cognizant of global economic conditions and developments," Lacker said at Shenandoah University, adding that his colleagues have to make policy choices focused on Fed goals for the US economy. "We conduct policy to achieve price stability and maximum employment here in the United States," Lacker said.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said in Detroit that policy makers probably face a high hurdle to deviate from $10 billion cuts in monthly bond buying at each of their next several meetings. The Fed's reduction in bond buying has been expected for quite some time and shouldn't have been a big surprise to global financial markets, Evans said to reporters after a speech. "Each country has a set of issues they need to deal with," Evans said. "The moderate pace of tapering that we laid out in conjunction with our stronger forward guidance" on the path of the federal funds rate "provides an adequate amount of accommodation for the other foreign markets," Evans said.
Evans and Lacker don't vote on policy this year.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) next undertakes monetary policy review on 18-19 March 2014. After a monetary policy review, the FOMC on 29 January 2014 announced it will reduce monthly bond purchases by another $10 billion to $65 billion. The Fed also signaled that it is likely to keep reducing bond purchases in the coming months, citing a pickup in US economic activity and improvement in the US labor market.
In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) undertakes monthly montary policy review tomorrow, 6 February 2014, amid speculation the ECB will reinforce its commitment to lower rates. The ECB will probably hold the benchmark interest rate at a record-low 0.25% at its policy meeting tomorrow as it faces slowing inflation. After the Jan. 9 policy meeting, ECB President Mario Draghi said the central bank "strongly emphasizes" that it will maintain accommodative measures for as long as necessary.
The Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) undertakes monthly montary policy review tomorrow, 6 February 2014, with markets waiting to see if Governor Mark Carney will alter guidance on lifting its record-low interest rate. The MPC is widely expected to keep the BoE's main interest rate at a record-low level of 0.5%. It is widely predicted also to maintain quantitative easing at 375 billion ($613 billion, 454 billion euros), opting against following the US Federal Reserve in tapering stimulus.
Britain's 12-month inflation slowed to 2% in December, recent official data showed, touching the lowest level for more than four years. The BoE's main task is to use monetary policy as a tool to keep annual inflation close to a government-set target of 2%, to preserve the value of money.
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