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HDFC Bank slips ahead of Q4 results

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A bout of volatility was witnessed as key benchmark indices recovered after hitting fresh intraday low in afternoon trade as European markets opened higher. The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was negative. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, was down 78.15 points or 0.41%, up 49.60 points from the day's low and off 118.58 points from the day's high. Index heavyweight and cigarette major ITC was a tad lower. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) extended intraday gains after the company's telecom arm and Bharti Airtel signed an agreement for international data connectivity. Shares of Bharti Airtel edged lower in choppy trade.

 

IT stocks rose on bargain hunting after recent fall. FMCG stocks edged lower on profit booking after recent upmove triggered on reports of likely normal monsoon this year. HDFC Bank fell ahead of its Q4 results today, 23 April 2013.

The market edged lower amid initial volatility as weakness in Asian stocks weighed on sentiment. The S&P BSE Sensex edged lower after a higher opening took the index to 5-week high. The Sensex trimmed initial losses in morning trade. The Sensex extended losses to hit fresh intraday low in mid-morning trade. The market weakened further to hit fresh intraday low in early afternoon trade. A bout of volatility was witnessed as key benchmark indices recovered after hitting fresh intraday low in afternoon trade as European markets opened higher.

The market may remain volatile this week as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month April 2013 series to May 2013 series. The April 2013 F&O contracts expire on Thursday, 25 April 2013. The stock market remains shut tomorrow, 24 April 2013, on account of Mahavir Jayanti.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 915.82 crore on Monday, 22 April 2013, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges.

At 13:15 IST, the S&P BSE Sensex was down 78.15 points or 0.41% to 19,091.68. The index rose 40.43 points at the day's high of 19,210.26 in opening trade, its highest level since 19 March 2013. The index fell 127.75 points at the day's low of 19,042.08 in early afternoon trade.

The CNX Nifty was down 26.70 points or 0.46% to 5,807.70. The index hit a high of 5,843.35 in intraday trade. The index hit a low of 5,791.55 in intraday trade.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was negative. On BSE, 1,132 shares declined and 985 shares rose. A total of 129 shares were unchanged.

The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 1239 crore by 13:20 IST.

Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 19 stocks fell while rest of them rose.

Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 1.31% to Rs 800.35. The scrip hit high of Rs 803.60 and a low of Rs 786.50 so far during the day. On the back of a surge in refining margins, RIL's net profit jumped 31.9% to Rs 5589 crore on 1.4% fall in turnover to Rs 86618 crore in Q4 March 2013 over Q4 March 2012. The company reported Q4 March 2013 results on 16 April 2013.

At the time of announcement of the results, RIL said that the company is working towards next wave of projects to exploit the undeveloped discovered resources in KG-D6 gas field targeted over the net 3-5 years. RIL has submitted an Integrated Block Development Plan (IBDP) for four discoveries in NEC -25 block (D-32, D-40, D-9 and D-10) proposing for a phased manner development. First gas is expected by mid-2019 subject to timely approvals.

Bharti Airtel fell 0.7% to Rs 298.60. The stock hit high of Rs 307.60 and low of Rs 296.80. Bharti Airtel and RIL's telecom arm -- Reliance Jio Infocomm -- today, 23 April 2013, announced that they have signed an Indefeasible Right to Use (IRU) agreement, under which Bharti will provide Reliance Jio data capacity on its i2i submarine cable. i2i connects India to Singapore and is wholly owned by Bharti. Reliance Jio will utilize a dedicated fiber pair on i2i. The high speed link will enable Reliance Jio to extend its network and service reach to customers across Asia Pacific region. It will connect Reliance Jio directly to the world's major business hubs and ISPs, thereby, helping the operator to meet the bandwidth demand and provide ultra-fast data experience to its customers.

The deal marks Reliance Jio's continued efforts to rapidly grow and expand both its international and domestic network and infrastructure by building an ecosystem with multiple carriers and service providers. Bharti and Reliance Jio will continue to build on this strategic framework and consider other mutual areas of cooperation and development to leverage their respective assets towards offering their customers a much richer experience, the two companies said in a joint statement.

Reliance Communications (RCom) fell 2.46%, with the stock reversing direction after Monday's 13.47% rally. The company before trading hours Monday, 22 April 2013, said that Samena Capital in a proposed consortium with certain other global PE funds is at an advanced stage of the process of due diligence and completion of definitive documents in relation to the acquisition of the company's global communications services business unit -- Reliance Globalcom. The intended time line for completion of the transaction is end May 2013. At this point, there can be no certainty that this will lead to a transaction, RCom said. A further announcement will be made in due course, if and when appropriate, the company said.

RCom also said that it has discontinued discussions with Batelco Group for selling its sake in Reliance Globalcom. RCom had earlier said in March 2013 that it was in discussions with Batelco Group with respect to Reliance Globalcom.

FMCG stocks edged lower on profit booking after recent upmove triggered on reports of likely normal monsoon this year. FMCG companies derive a substantial revenue from rural markets. Britannia Industries (down 0.75%), Colgate-Palmolive (India) (down 1.28%), Hindustan Unilever (down 0.31%), Dabur India (down 1.28%), Godrej Consumer Products (down 0.24%) and Tata Global Beverages (down 1.81%) declined.

Index heavyweight and cigarette major ITC fell 0.36% to Rs 315.75. The stock reversed direction after hitting record high of Rs 317.50 at the onset of the trading session today, 23 April 2013. The stock hit low of Rs 314.10 in intraday trade today, 23 April 2013. The government raised the excise duty on cigarettes by about 18% on all cigarettes except cigarettes of length not exceeding 65 mm in Union Budget 2013-14, which was unveiled on 28 February 2013.

India's second largest private sector bank in terms of operating income, HDFC Bank dropped 1.34% to Rs 689.85 ahead of its Q4 results today, 23 April 2013. HDFC Bank shares have witnessed a pre-result rally. The stock jumped 12.68% to settle at Rs 699.25 on BSE on Monday, 22 April 2013, from a recent low of Rs 620.55 on 9 April 2013.

HDFC Bank has been consistently reporting about 30% year on year growth in bottom line in each quarter for quite some time now.

IT stocks rose on bargain hunting after recent fall. Wipro recovered from Monday's sharp slide triggered by the company issuing weak revenue outlook for Q1 June 2013. The stock was up 0.99%. The company said at the time of announcing Q4 results on 19 March 2013 that it expects a between 0.63% fall to a growth of 1.57% in revenue from IT services business at between $1.575 billion to $1.61 billion in Q1 June 2013 over Q4 March 2013. At a post-result conference call, Wipro's management indicated that Q1 for Wipro will be the traditionally weak quarter on account of softness from the India business. The management expects Q2 September 2013 to be better than Q1 June 2013 for the company.

Wipro's IT services revenue rose 0.5% to $1.585 billion in Q4 March 2013 over Q3 December 2012. On year on year basis, IT services revenue rose 3.2% to $1.585 billion in Q4 March 2013 over Q4 March 2012.

IT major TCS rose 0.79%. TCS posted good Q4 results last week. Its consolidated net profit rose 1.9% to Rs 3616 crore on 2.2% growth in revenue to Rs 16430 crore in Q4 March 2013 over Q3 December 2012. Net profit jumped 33.6% to Rs 13917 crore on 28.8% growth in revenue to Rs 62989 crore in the year ended 31 March 2013 (FY 2013) over the year ended 31 March 2012 (FY 2012). The company clocked volume growth of 16.8% in FY 2013 over FY 2012.

At a post result conference call held on 17 April 2013, TCS' management said it expects FY 2014 to be better year than FY 2013 and anticipates defending the margins in narrow band despite the headwinds from the wage hikes through other levers.

Infosys gained 0.83%. Infosys has forecast a tepid 6% to 10% growth in revenue in both rupee terms and dollar terms for the year ending 31 March 2014 (FY 2014) as the company says that global economic uncertainties remain challenging for the IT industry. The revenue growth outlook is lower than industry body Nasscom's projection of 12% to 14% growth in IT exports in the current fiscal year. Infosys has not given full year earnings guidance this time. Infosys had earlier stopped offering quarterly guidance in July 2012.

HCL Technologies advanced 1.28% to Rs 730. The stock had hit a record high of Rs 809 in intraday trade on 17 April 2013 after the company reported strong Q3 results. Consolidated net profit as per US accounting standards rose 7.8% to Rs 1040 crore on 2.4% growth in revenue at Rs 6425 crore in Q3 March 2013 over Q2 December 2012.

The focus of the market is on Q4 results. Axis Bank will announce its Q4 March 2013 results tomorrow, 24 April 2013. Jindal Steel & Power declares its Q4 results on 25 April 2013. Hero MotoCorp, ICICI Bank and Maruti Suzuki unveil Q4 results on 26 April 2013. IDFC announces Q4 results on 1 May 2013.

Bharti Airtel and Kotak Mahindra Bank unveil Q4 results on 2 May 2013. ACC and Ambuja Cements announce Q1 March 2013 results on 3 May 2013. Grasim announces Q4 March 2013 results on 4 May 2013. HDFC unveils Q4 results on 8 May 2013. Ranbaxy announces Q1 March 2013 results on the same day. Dr. Reddys Laboratories announces Q4 results on 14 May 2013. Bajaj Auto announces Q4 results on 16 May 2013.

The Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council in a report released today, 23 April 2013, projected 6.4% growth in India's GDP for the current fiscal year 2013/14, higher than an estimated 5% growth for the fiscal year 2012/13. In 2013-14, the headline WPI inflation is expected to be around 6%, compared with provisional figure at 5.96% at the end of 2012-13, the PMEAC said.

On the external sector, the Current Account Deficit is expected to ease to 4.7% of GDP in 2013-14 from an estimated 5.1% of GDP in 2012-13. The net FDI inflow is expected at $24 billion in 2013-14 from an estimated $18 billion in 2012-13. In contrast, FII inflows are seen sliding to $18 billion in 2013-14 from an estimated $24 billion in 2012-13, the PMEAC said.

Global growth although projected to pick up in 2013 would continue to remain at modest levels. In such a scenario India's projected growth rate of 6.4% for 2013-14 is relatively high and respectable, the report added.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will announce the Monetary Policy Statement 2013-14 on 3 May 2013. The RBI cut its key policy rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.5% after a mid-quarter monetary policy review on 19 March 2013. Inflation based on the monthly wholesale price index (WPI) eased the lowest level in 40 months at 5.96% in March 2013, and sharply lower than 6.84% in February 2013, data released by the government on 15 April 2013 showed. Non-food manufacturing inflation or core inflation slowed further to 3.41% in March 2013, the data showed.

The finance ministry in October 2012 announced a five-year plan to cut fiscal deficit. The government hopes to reduce the fiscal deficit to 3% by March 2017.

Parliament reconvened for the second half of the Budget Session Monday, 22 April 2013. The session ends on 10 May 2013.

European stock markets opened higher on Tuesday, after the purchasing managers' index for France rose to a four-month high, with investors further awaiting more PMI data for Germany and the combined euro zone. Key benchmark indices in UK, France and Germany were up 0.37% to 0.98%.

Asian stocks edged lower on Tuesday after a preliminary report showed Chinese manufacturing expanded less than economists estimated. Key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan fell by 0.29% to 2.57%.

China's manufacturing is expanding at a slower pace this month, adding to concern that the world's second-biggest economy is faltering. The preliminary report for a Purchasing Managers' Index released by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics showed a reading of 50.5 for April compared with a final 51.6 for March.

Trading in US index futures indicated that the Dow could fall 16 points at the opening bell on Tuesday, 23 April 2013. US stocks edged higher on Monday as last week's sharp losses brought buyers back to the market and Microsoft Corp shares jumped after an activist investor took a stake in the company.

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First Published: Apr 23 2013 | 1:20 PM IST

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