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Market breadth turns negative from positive

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After a range bound movement in negative zone in early afternoon trade, key benchmark indices extended losses in afternoon trade as European stocks edged lower. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market turned negative from positive in afternoon trade. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, was currently trading above the psychological 27,000 mark. Earlier, the Sensex had fallen below that level amid initial volatility. The Sensex had settled above the psychological 27,000 mark after yesterday's rally. The Sensex was currently off 203.36 points or 0.75% at 27,047.74.

Capital goods stocks declined. Pharma stocks gained.

On the macro front, the latest data showed that inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) remained in negative zone last month.

 

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 71.20 crore yesterday, 13 May 2015, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 254 crore yesterday, 13 May 2015, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges.

In overseas markets, European stocks declined. Asian stocks were mixed. US stocks closed virtually unchanged yesterday, 13 May 2015, as early gains faded by the end of the session.

At 13:16 IST, the S&P BSE Sensex was down 203.36 points or 0.75% at 27,047.74. The index lost 302.48 points at the day's low of 26,948.62 in early trade. The index rose 42.89 points at the day's high of 27,293.99 at onset of day's trading session.

The CNX Nifty was down 61.05 points or 0.74% at 8,174.40. The index hit a high of 8,232.80 in intraday trade. The index hit a low of 8,137.30 in intraday trade.

The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market turned negative from positive in afternoon trade. On BSE, 1,223 shares declined and 1,184 shares rose. A total of 104 shares were unchanged.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was up 23.35 points or 0.22% at 10,457.22. The BSE Small-Cap index was up 27.43 points or 0.25% at 10,900.43. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Capital goods stocks declined. Bharat Heavy Electricals (Bhel) (down 0.99%), Havells India (down 1%), ABB India (down 0.44%), L&T (down 0.45%), and Bharat Electronics (down 0.14%) declined. BEML (up 1.97%), Crompton Greaves (up 0.06%) and Siemens (up 2.32%) gained.

Pharma stocks gained. Cipla (up 1.67%), Piramal Enterprises (up 0.93%), Dr Reddy's Laboratories (up 0.42%), Cadila Healthcare (up 1.07%), Wockhardt (up 1.62%), and Divi's Laboratories (up 0.21%) gained.

Lupin fell 3.77%. The company after market hours yesterday, 13 May 2015, announced the acquisition of 100% equity stake in Medquimica Industria Farmaceutica S.A., Brazil, (Medquimica) subject to certain closing conditions. The acquisition marks Lupin's foray into the high growth Brazilian market and would also shore up its position in the Latin American pharmaceuticals market given the company's acquisition of Laboratorios Grin in Mexico last fiscal, Lupin said in a statement.

Incorporated in 1975, Medquimica is a broad based pharmaceutical company engaged in the development, manufacturing & commercialization of branded generics, pure generics and OTC products. Medquimica recorded net revenue of approximately BRL 94 million ($31 million) in calendar year 2014 and has over 550 employees.

On the macro front, the latest data showed that inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) remained in negative zone last month. WPI inflation stood at negative 2.65% in April 2015, data released by the government today, 14 May 2015, showed. WPI inflation was minus 2.33% in March 2015. Build up of inflation in the financial year so far was minus 0.06%, compared to a build up rate of 0.28% in the corresponding period of the previous year.

Meanwhile, WPI inflation for February 2015 was revised downwards to negative 2.17% from negative 2.06% reported earlier.

Meanwhile, global credit raging agency Moody's Investors Service yesterday, 13 May 2015, said that of the non-financial and infrastructure corporates that it rates in India, the vast majority carry either positive or stable outlooks. Twenty-six percent of all corporates that Moody's rates in India carry positive outlooks, seventy percent carry stable outlooks, leaving only four percent with negative outlooks, said Philipp Lotter, a Moody's Managing Director for the Corporate Finance Group. Lotter was speaking at the first Moody's and ICRA Annual Credit Conference in Mumbai.

Over the next 12-18 months, India's economy should grow at around 7.5%, and credit conditions should improve for Moody's-rated non-financial corporates and infrastructure debt issuers in pro-cyclical industries, according to Lotter. He further said that most of the positive outlooks were on ratings of government-related issuers and therefore linked to the recent change in outlook to positive on the Indian sovereign. However, broader improvements in credit conditions for corporates will also be due to an upturn in economic growth, the banks' pass-through of interest rate cuts, weakness in international commodity prices, and the government's pro-growth policy agenda.

Sectors that will benefit the most include industrials, transport infrastructure, metals and automotives. However, issuers in the upstream oil and gas, and chemicals sectors will see their earnings and cash flows pressured by weak oil prices globally. Lotter pointed out that the latest economic data in India suggests that a cyclical pick-up in economic activity is underway, as the country's purchasing managers' indices for the manufacturing and services sectors are expanding. In addition, leading investment indicators such as capital goods production and commercial vehicle sales point to a gradual bottoming out in India's capex cycle.

A number of stubborn macroeconomic challenges have also eased significantly. Consumer price inflation has fallen to the mid-single digits, while the country's current account balance is running at a historically mild deficit of 1.1% of GDP. The reduction in both the country's headline inflation rate and current account deficit provides a more stable backdrop for Indian corporates in terms of market borrowing costs and the exchange rate.

As for the weak commodity prices globally, Lotter said that the historically low prices are generally credit positive because operating costs will be lower for sectors such as automotives, manufacturing, infrastructure and power. On leverage, Lotter said that debt levels are in general stabilizing for Moody's-rated Indian corporate and infrastructure issuers. On a weighted average basis, Moody's expects debt-to EBITDA to stabilize at 2.8x in 2015 because an upswing in earnings and improving margins should help shore up key credit metrics for Indian corporates rated by Moody's.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived on a three-day visit to China today, 14 May 2015, during which he will hold summit talks with Chinese president Xi Jinping on a range of issues.

In overseas markets, European stocks edged lower today, 14 May 2015. Key indices in France, Germany and UK were off 0.31% to 1.14%.

Asian stocks were mixed today, 14 May 2015. Key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong and South Korea were up 0.06% to 0.29%. Key benchmark indices in Singapore, Taiwan and Japan were off 0.02% to 1.16%. Indonesian markets are closed for a holiday.

US stocks closed virtually unchanged yesterday, 13 May 2015, as early gains faded by the end of the session. In economic data, US retail sales were unchanged in April as households cut back on purchases of cars and other big-ticket items and import prices fell for a 10th straight month in April and business inventories barely rose in March.

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First Published: May 14 2015 | 1:10 PM IST

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