The market may edge lower in early trade on weak Asian stocks. Trading of S&P CNX Nifty futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates a fall of 27.50 points at the opening bell. Asian shares eased on Friday as the European Central Bank, after inaction from the Federal Reserve, disappointed markets looking for an imminent move to deal with the euro zone debt crisis, spurring risk aversion.
Back home, the services purchasing managers' index for July 2012 is expected to be released today, 3 August 2012. HSBC's services purchasing managers' index, which gauges the activity of around 400 firms in India, dropped to 54.3 in June from 54.7 in May. However, it has kept above the 50 mark that signifies growth since November.
Mahindra Satyam may edge higher after strong Q1 results. Mahindra Satyam's consolidated net profit declined 34.1% to Rs 352 crore on 12.8% growth in revenue to Rs 1880 crore in Q1 June 2012 over Q4 March 2012. Earnings before interest, taxation, deprecation and amortization (EBITDA) jumped 39.8% to Rs 408 crore in Q1 June 2012 over Q4 March 2012. EBITDA margins rose sharply to 21.7% in Q1 June 2012 from 17.5% in Q4 March 2012. The sequential decline in bottom line was due to base effect. The company's bottom line in Q4 March 2012 was boosted by exceptional income of Rs 109 crore as also due to tax credit of Rs 94 crore.
The merger of Tech Mahindra and Mahindra Satyam, announced on 21 March 2012 is progressing on schedule, the company said in a statement.
Commenting on the first quarter results, Vineet Nayyar, Chairman, Mahindra Satyam, said, "With this quarter, we have successfully ended our 3-year transformational journey, recording progress on the back of strong fundamentals, focus and investments. Global business realities continue to be unpredictable. However we are confident of taking forward our momentum". Speaking on the occasion, CP Gurnani, CEO, Mahindra Satyam, said, "We compete in the marketplace today with investments in services, markets and our differentiators. Our plans to convert some of these bullets into cannonballs is a reflection of our performance this quarter."
Oracle Financial Services Software on Thursday reported 90% growth in consolidated net profit to Rs 368.10 crore on 10% growth in revenue to Rs 946.30 crore in Q1 June 2012 over Q4 March 2012. The company signed licenses fees of $19 million in Q1 June 2012, Oracle Financial Services Software said in a statement.
ACC on Thursday said its cement dispatches declined 6.46% to 1.88 million tones in July 2012 over July 2011. Production declined 8.37% to 1.86 million tones in July 2012 over July 2011.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals' (GPL) consolidated net profit plunged 62.47% to Rs 78.27 crore on 19.83 % growth in revenue to Rs 1040.40 crore in Q1 June 2012 over Q1 June 2011. The net profit for the quarter is not comparable due to out-licensing income of Rs 111.23 crore received Q1 June 2011 and also due to marked-to-market (MTM) losses to the extent of Rs 55 crore recorded in Q1 June 2012, GPL said in a statement.
Commenting on the first quarter results, Glenn Saldanha, Chairman & Managing Director, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals said: "Both our generics and specialty business registered good growth. The US business did exceptionally well recording a growth in excess of 55% on the back of product launches in niche competition categories while the India business performed well and gained market share in focus segments. We are witnessing good growth in our businesses across geographies and are confident of maintaining this trajectory in the coming quarters."
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) on Thursday announced that Ziraat Bank, Turkey, has selected the TCS BaNCS core banking platform for a multi-country implementation as part of its international growth strategy. This transformational engagement, which commenced in July 2012, follows a 'model office solution' approach towards the deployment across multiple countries in Europe.
Key benchmark indices snapped four day winning streak on Thursday, 2 August 2012, as investors nervously awaited the latest policy decision from the European Central Bank. The BSE Sensex fell 33.02 points or 0.19% to settle at 17,224.36 on that day, its lowest closing level since 30 July 2012.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth Rs 140.13 crore on 2 August 2012, as per provisional figures on the stock exchanges. FIIs bought shares worth Rs 438.50 crore from the secondary equity markets on Thursday, 2 August 2012, as per data from Securities & Exchange Board of India. FIIs made substantial purchases of Indian stocks last month. FIIs bought shares worth net Rs 9691 crore from the secondary equity markets in July 2012.
Shrinking export orders and sluggish output dragged Indian manufacturing growth in July down to its weakest pace since last November, a business survey showed on Wednesday. Manufacturing accounts for around 15% of India's gross domestic product.
India's merchandise exports declined 5.45% to $25.06 billion in June 2012, data released by the Ministry of Commerce & Industry showed. Cumulative value of exports for the period April-June 2012 declined 1.7% to $75.20 billion from a year earlier. India's imports declined 13.46% to $35.37 billion in June 2012. Cumulative value of imports for the period April-June 2012 declined 6.1% to $115.25 billion from a year earlier. Oil imports declined 4.43% to $12.68 billion in June 2012. Oil imports during April-June 2012 rose 5.48% to $41.58 billion from a year earlier.
Trade deficit narrowed to $10.30 billion in June 2012 from $14.36 billion a year earlier, according to the data. The trade deficit for April-June 2012 narrowed to $40.05 billion from $46.23 billion during April-June 2011.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday, 2 August 2012, the El Nino weather pattern is likely to reduce rains again in the second half of the June to September monsoon season. The IMD said rains over the entire June to September season are now expected to be less than 90 percent of long-term averages. Monsoon rains are considered deficient -- a drought in layman's terms -- if they fall below 90 percent of a 50-year average. Between June 1 and August 1, rainfall was about 19% below normal. The IMD expect normal rains in August. It expects rainfall to be 5-6 percent below average in September due to the possibility of El Nino.
A panel of ministers early this week approved steps to contain the impact of a drought situation. The steps include providing diesel-price subsidies to farmers, increasing the subsidy on seed supplies, and removal of the import tax on oil meals, Farm Minister Sharad Pawar told reporters on Tuesday. He said there is a major decline in planting areas of rice, coarse cereals and lentils due to weak monsoon rains. The diesel-price subsidy announced by the government will be 50% on the sale price for drought-hit farmers and total expenditure would be around Rs 1260 crore, which would be shared equally by the central government and respective state governments.
There will be an impact on foodgrain output, but it is too early to give any estimate, Mr. Pawar said early this week. Mr. Pawar said the government will raise subsidies for the supply of various seeds for alternate crops in affected areas.
The monsoon rains--which make up around 70% of India's annual rainfall--are crucial to the nation's agriculture sector and broader economy. More than 60% of the country's farmland is rain-fed. The timing, distribution and quantity of rainfall are all important for crops. The four-month southwest monsoon season that starts from June accounts for almost 70% of total annual moisture that Indian soil receives in a year.
A bad monsoon will have a larger impact on inflation than on growth as agriculture output constitutes a relatively small portion of India's economy, Indian central bank officials said on Wednesday, 1 August 2012, in a conference call following the release of its monetary policy review on Tuesday, 31 July 2012. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Tuesday, 31 July 2012, kept its key policy rate viz. the repo rate unchanged at 8% after first quarter review of Monetary Policy 2012-13 in an effort to keep a lid on inflation and inflation expectations. The RBI, however, lowered banks' statutory liquidity ratio, or the part of deposits that must be invested mainly in government bonds, by a percentage point to 23% to ensure that liquidity pressures do not constrain the flow of credit to productive sectors of the economy.
Principal adviser to the Planning Commission Pronab Sen last week said slowing investment due to weak confidence in the economy is hurting growth. Mr. Sen said Indian companies aren't facing any shortage of funds. Many of them are sitting on piles of cash and aren't even repatriating overseas borrowings, he added.
The government should take steps to meet the fiscal deficit target set out in the budget and that would improve sentiment and revive investments, Mr. Sen said. He said the government should scale back its spending and slash subsidies on fuels, food and fertilizers to help check its budget deficit. Slowing growth in investment remains a cause for concern for India. Investment makes up 35% of India's economic activity.
Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh has decided to refer the issue of implications on FIIs and portfolio investors of the amendment made to the Income Tax Act relating to the taxation of non-resident transfer of assets where the underlying asset is in India to the Expert Committee on anti-avoidance tax proposal viz. the General Anti-Avoidance Rules (GAAR). "It is necessary to have clarity on the tax liability of portfolio investors and foreign institutional investors as a result of this amendment particularly when the investment is made through a registered stock exchange in accordance with SEBI guidelines and purely in the form of portfolio investment", the Prime Minister's Office (PMO) said in a statement issued Monday, 30 July 2012. Any clarification needs to be harmonised with the GAAR guidelines and will have to address any residual concerns outside of GAAR, the PMO said.
Dr. Singh last month constituted an expert committee on anti-avoidance tax proposal viz. the General Anti-Avoidance Rules (GAAR) to undertake stakeholder consultations and finalise the guidelines for GAAR by 30 September 2012.
An India-Mauritius joint panel will discuss a series of proposals to review the double taxation avoidance treaty between the two nations on 22-24 August in Mauritius. India has been looking to negotiate the double taxation avoidance agreement with Mauritius for the past few years to check so-called round tripping and other potential abuses. Round tripping entails moving money out of one country to another, and getting it back under the garb of foreign capital. Capital gains tax is close to zero in Mauritius and almost 40% of investments into India come through the island nation. Under the bilateral agreement, capital gains from sale of securities can be taxed only in Mauritius. The India-Mauritius joint working group will also discuss the inclusion of a so-called limitation of benefit clause, similar to the Singapore tax treaty with India, to ensure only genuine Mauritius-based companies are benefited. India's tax agreement with Singapore says that only those companies that spend a minimum of $200,000 (about Rs 1 crore) in Singapore can avail the benefits of the treaty.
Sanctity of tax residency certificates issued by a country to companies operating in its jurisdiction to enable the firms to claim tax benefits under various treaties is another issue between India and Mauritius. While India in this year's national budget said the certificates are a necessary but not sufficient condition, Mauritius wants those issued by it honoured. Draft guidelines issued by Indian government for implementing the controversial anti-avoidance tax proposal viz. the GAAR state that GAAR provisions should be invoked on a foreign institutional investor (FII), if it chooses to take a treaty benefit, but would not in any case be invoked in the case of the non-resident investors of the FII. The draft guidelines suggested that the onus of proving wrongdoing should be on the authorities. Voting for the country's new vice president takes places on 7 August 2012 -- a day before the monsoon session of parliament kicks off.
The monsoon session of the parliament will begin on 8 August 2012 and the session will conclude on 7 September 2012, Parliamentary Affairs Minister Pawan Kumar Bansal said on Wednesday, 18 July 2012. The government hasn't yet finalized the agenda for the session, but the expectation is that Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh -- who took charge of the finance ministry after Mr. Pranab Mukherjee resigned to contest the presidential elections -- will try and push through long-pending legislations. These could include the Direct Tax Code and the insurance, pension and banking bills. The government would also place before lawmakers the first demand for additional spending for this fiscal year which began April 1.
Corporate affairs minister Veerappa Moily said in a newspaper interview published on 11 July 2012 that the government is hopeful of the passage of the pension bill in the monsoon session of parliament.
Investors' focus is currently on Q1 June 2012 earnings. DLF and Steel Authority of India unveil Q1 results on Monday, 6 August 2012. Mahindra & Mahindra and Bharti Airtel unveil Q1 results on 8 August 2012. Tata Motors and Ranbaxy Laboratories unveil quarterly results on 9 August 2012. State Bank of India, Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries, Siemens and BPCL announce quarterly results on 10 August 2012. ONGC announces Q1 results on 11 August 2012. Tata Steel and Coal India unveil Q1 results on 13 August 2012. Hindalco Industries and IDFC will unveil Q1 results on 14 August 2012.
Asian stocks dropped for a third day on Friday after European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi failed to deliver immediate action to stem the region's debt crisis. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan fell by between 0.37% to 1.62%. China's Shanghai Composite rose 0.14%.
China's services firms regained some growth momentum in July, recovering from June's 10-month low, a private-sector survey showed on Friday. The China HSBC services purchasing managers index (PMI) rose to 53.1 in July from 52.3 in June, reflecting a rise in new orders even as sales prices and costs remained broadly unchanged. Earlier Friday, the official services PMI published by the National Bureau of Statistics showed the services industry slowing somewhat, to 55.6 in July from 56.7 in June, reflecting a slowdown in new orders and business activity sub-indexes.
The ECB kept euro zone interest rates at a record low 0.75% but ECB President Mario Draghi said the council did consider a further rate cut on Thursday amid signs that an economic recession in peripheral European countries is spreading across the continent. Draghi indicated that any intervention would not come before September and only if governments activated the euro zone's bail-out funds to join the ECB in buying bonds.
The Bank of England left its monetary policy unchanged on Thursday, judging that its July decision to expand purchases of government bonds is enough stimulus for now despite the danger of a prolonged slump.
Germany's Federal Constitutional Court will announce a decision on lawsuits challenging the country's participation in the permanent euro-zone rescue fund, the European Stability Mechanism, and the fiscal pact on 12 September 2012. The court held a public hearing earlier this month to examine complaints that participation in the fund and the fiscal pact violated German law by taking some authority over the national budget away from parliament.
US and European shares slid on Thursday after the European Central Bank failed to take aggressive action to address the euro zone's debt problems. The latest response -- no change to interest rates nor an immediate restart of sovereign bond purchases -- fell short of ECB President Mario Draghi's pledge to do "whatever it takes" to preserve the euro.
The influential US government data on non-farm payroll for July 2012 is due today, 3 August 2012. In June, the United States created 80,000 jobs, the third straight month of job growth of under 100,000.
The International Monetary Fund on Thursday called for a "policy game changer" in the euro zone to arrest the spread of the debt crisis it now says is clearly engulfing the entire currency bloc and its smaller neighbors. An IMF spillover report that looks at how the economic policies of the so-called systemic five economies -- the United States, China, euro zone, Japan and the United Kingdom -- affect each other and the rest of the world said the euro area crisis was by far the biggest concern weighing on policymakers' minds.
The IMF said it had consulted 35 countries for the report including select number of emerging economies Brazil, Czech Republic, India, South Africa, Turkey, Russia, South Korea, Poland, Mexico and Saudi Arabia. "Despite progress in the face of constraints, the sense is that not enough has been done to stop the spread of stresses and attenuate fiscal-growth-banking feedback loops," the IMF said of the euro zone's policy actions so far.
In a worst-case scenario simulated by the IMF, it found that euro zone output could be cut by five percentage points if policymakers did not act and the euro zone crisis worsened. If the euro zone crisis intensified, the IMF estimated that the impact to the world's poorest countries would be somewhere between mild to severe, and could push up their external financing needs by some $27 billion by the end of 2013. But the IMF said the euro zone was not the only global worry. Weighing possible spillovers elsewhere, the IMF also said the United States must remove the threat of a so-called "fiscal cliff" in 2013, with $4 trillion worth of expiring tax cuts and automatic government spending reductions next year, and not enough fiscal adjustments over the medium term.
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