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Sensex, Nifty settle at over 35-month high

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Key benchmark indices surged as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected and decided to infuse liquidity into the banking system. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, and the 50-unit CNX Nifty, both, settled at over 35-month high. The Sensex jumped 358.73 points or 1.74%, up 435.35 points from the day's low and off 23.54 points from the day's high. The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive. All the 13 sectoral indices on BSE edged higher. The market sentiment was boosted by data showing that foreign funds remained net buyers of Indian stocks on Monday, 28 October 2013. Gains in Asian and European stocks also underpinned sentiment on the domestic bourses.

 

Indian stocks snapped five-day losing streak today, 29 October 2013. The Sensex had lost 323.61 points or 1.55% in five trading sessions to settle at 20,570.28 on Monday, 28 October 2013, from a recent high of 20,893.89 on 21 October 2013. The Sensex has gained 1,549.24 points or 7.99% in this month so far (till 29 October 2013). The Sensex has gained 1,502.30 points or 7.73% in calendar 2013 so far (till 29 October 2013). From a 52-week low of 17,448.71 on 28 August 2013, the Sensex has risen 3,480.30 points or 19.95%.

Coming back to today's trade, banking stocks rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected and decided to infuse liquidity into the banking system. Metal and mining stocks edged higher. Car major Maruti Suzuki India jumped on strong Q2 result.

The market may remain volatile in the immediate future as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month October 2013 series to November 2013 series. The near month October 2013 derivatives contract expire on Thursday, 31 October 2013.

The market sentiment was boosted by data showing that foreign funds made heavy purchases of Indian stocks on Monday, 28 October 2013. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 659.50 crore from the secondary equity markets on Monday, 28 October 2013, as per data from Securities & Exchange Board of India.

The S&P BSE Sensex jumped 358.73 points or 1.74% to settle at 20,929.01, its highest closing level since 9 November 2010. The index jumped 382.27 points at the day's high of 20,952.55 in late trade. The index fell 76.62 points at the day's low of 20,493.66 in morning trade, its lowest level since 18 October 2013.

The CNX Nifty surged 119.80 points or 1.96% to settle at 6,220.90, its highest closing level since 10 November 2010. The index hit a high of 6,228.05 in intraday trade. The index hit a low of 6,079.20 in intraday trade, its lowest level since 18 October 2013.

The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 2223 crore, higher than Rs 1685.30 crore on Monday, 28 October 2013.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive. On BSE, 1,292 shares rose and 1,094 shares fell. A total of 171 shares were unchanged.

The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.45% and the BSE Small-Cap index gained 0.52%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.

All the 13 sectoral indices on BSE edged higher. The BSE Bankex (up 4.35%), the BSE Realty index (up 2.44%), the BSE Auto index (up 2.43%) and the BSE Metal index (up 2.12%) outperformed the Sensex

The BSE PSU index (up 1.7%), the BSE Power index (up 1.63%), the BSE Consumer Durables index (up 1.59%), the BSE HealthCare index (up 1.4%), the BSE Capital Goods index (up 1.16%), the BSE Oil & Gas index (up 1.16%), the BSE FMCG index (up 0.65%), the BSE Teck index (up 0.51%) and the BSE IT index (up 0.46%) underperformed the Sensex.

Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 29 stocks rose and only one fell.

NTPC rose 1.08%. The company after market hours today, 29 October 2013, reported 20.66% fall in net profit to Rs 2492.90 crore on 0.64% fall in total income to Rs 17059.41 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012.

Ranbaxy Laboratories fell 1.07%. The company after market hours today, 29 October 2013 reported consolidated net loss of Rs 454.16 crore in Q3 September 2013, compared with net profit of Rs 754.17 crore in Q3 September 2012. Total income increased 1.92% to Rs 2827.73 crore in Q3 September 2013 over Q3 September 2012.

Ranbaxy Laboratories said that the depreciation of the rupee against the dollar, though favourable to Ranbaxy's export business had an adverse impact on the company mainly on account of application of the accounting standards that require marking to market the entire derivatives and foreign currency denominated loans outstanding. There was a charge of Rs 360 crore during Q3 September 2013 on account of forex exchange fluctuations, Ranbaxy said. The company made a provision for Mohali stock write-off and other costs amounting to Rs 70 crore.

Ranbaxy said that its base business sales in Q3 September 2013 continued to grow over the corresponding period of the previous year. Ranbaxy's global sales rose 2.99% to Rs 2750 crore in Q3 September 2013 over Q3 September 2012. The growth in sales was impacted adversely by the new pricing policy and trade concerns in India and the absence of any post exclusivity sales during the quarter, Ranbaxy said.

Commenting on the business results for the quarter, Mr. Arun Sawhney, CEO & Managing Director, Ranbaxy, said: "The company continues to grow in its focus branded markets in Asia, East Europe, CIS and Africa. In India, however, the announcement of the pricing policy caused some uncertainty in the market, during which our sales in the home market faced some disruptions. We are confident that we will satisfactorily address the increasing standards of quality and manufacturing processes to uphold the high level of trust that our doctors, patients, regulators and other stakeholders expect from us".

The board of directors of the company have decided to change the financial year of the company as "April to March" effective 1 April 2014. In view of this, the current financial year will be for a period of 15 months i.e. January 2013 to March 2014.

Ranbaxy said it expects to achieve sales of Rs 13000 crore to Rs 13500 crore for 15 months period ending 31 March 2014. This does not consider any sales accruing from FTFs which shall be accounted for as they materialize.

Auto stocks rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected. M&M (up 3.74%), Tata Motors (up 0.72%), Hero MotoCorp (up 3.1%) and Bajaj Auto (up 1.45%) gained.

Car major Maruti Suzuki India jumped 8.19% on strong Q2 result. The company after trading hours on Monday, 28 October 2013, said its net profit jumped 194.7% to Rs 670.20 crore on 26.5% growth in net sales to Rs 10211.80 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The company said that base effect aided strong growth in bottomline in Q2 September 2013 -- the company's performance in Q2 September 2012 was adversely impacted by labour problems at its Manesar plant. Higher localization and cost reduction initiatives by the company also contributed significantly to bottomline growth in Q2 September 2013, Maruti said. The overall impact of foreign exchange was positive during the quarter, Maruti said.

Maruti said that the company's new diesel engine facility at Gurgaon and the third assembly facility at Manesar went on stream during Q2 September 2013. With this, the company's total capacity for vehicle assembly has risen to 1.5 million vehicles per annum.

Banking stocks rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected and decided to infuse liquidity into the banking system. HDFC Bank (up 2.7%) and ICICI Bank (up 6.35%), gained.

Among PSU bank stocks, State Bank of India (SBI), Canara Bank, Union Bank of India, Bank of India, Bank of Baroda and Punjab National Bank gained 2.32% to 4.97%.

The Reserve Bank of India today, 29 October 2013, said it has decided to give banks the option to pay interest on savings deposits and term deposits at intervals shorter than quarterly intervals.

Bank of Maharashtra fell 2.61% on poor Q2 result. The company's net profit slumped 71.78% to Rs 46.85 crore on 31.32% increase in total income to Rs 3196.56 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The result was announced during trading hours today, 29 October 2013. Bank of Maharashtra's ratio of net non-performing assets (NPA) to net advances stood at 1.76% as on 30 September 2013, compared with 0.80% as on 30 June 2013 and 0.88% as on 30 September 2012.

The bank's ratio of gross NPA to gross advances stood at 2.77% as on 30 September 2013, compared with 1.80% as on 30 June 2013 and 2% as on 30 September 2012.

Provisions and contingencies rose 45.25% to Rs 323.23 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The NPA provisioning coverage ratio as on 30 September 2013 stood at 58.91% as against 83.68% as on 31 March 2013.

The bank's Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) as per Basel III norms stood at 10.71% as on 30 September 2013, compared with 10.76% as on 30 June 2013.

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services surged 9.26% to Rs 300.95. The stock hit a record high of Rs 306 in intraday today, 29 October 2013.

Shriram Transport Finance Company rose 3.05% after Q2 result. The company's consolidated net profit declined 2.93% to Rs 351.93 crore on 23.14% rise in total income to Rs 2103.67 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The company announced result during market hours.

Shriram Transport Finance Company's consolidated net interest income increased by 6.07% to Rs 969.04 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. On a consolidated basis, total assets under management as on 30 September 2013 surged by 22.65% to Rs 56992.76 crore compared with Rs 46465.90 crore as on 30 September 2012.

Realty stocks gained after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected. DLF (up 3.14%), D B Realty (up 1.47%), Unitech (up 4.479%) and HDIL (up 8.35%) gained.

Metal and mining stocks edged higher. Bhushan Steel (up 0.05%), Sesa Sterlite (up 2.76%), Jindal Steel & Power (up 1.09%), NMDC (up 0.19%), Sail (up 3.69%), and Hindalco Industries (up 3.13%), gained.

Tata Steel surged 4.67%. Tata Steel's long products business today, 29 October 2013, announced restructuring proposals to help strengthen its competitiveness. The proposed changes affect predominately management and administrative functions at sites in Scunthorpe, Teesside and Workington and could lead to the loss of around 500 jobs. The announcement was made after trading hours.

The proposals come amid a prolonged downturn in demand for some of the key products made by the Scunthorpe-based business, including the UK market for construction steel, which is about half of 2007 levels, Tata Steel said in a statement.

Karl Koehler, CEO of Tata Steel's European operations said: "European steel demand this year is expected to be only two-thirds of pre-crisis levels after falls in the past two years. On top of the challenging economic conditions, rules covering energy and the environment in Europe and the UK threaten to impose huge additional costs on the steel industry. As difficult as the proposed changes are, they are intended to build a stronger future by enabling the long products business to compete in even the current challenging economic and regulatory conditions. We will of course engage fully with employees, trade unions and our political stakeholders during this restructuring process. We will do everything we can to support our employees through this unsettling time".

Jon Bolton, Director of the Long Products operations, said: "UK demand for construction steel has fallen further since we launched an improvement programme at our Long Products business in 2011. This further market decline means we must now build on the work we have been doing to restore Long Products' ability to compete throughout the economic cycle. The proposed changes at our Workington engineering operations, meanwhile, are as a result of a shortfall in external projects. Today's proposals would help us build a more sustainable business. I know this will be a difficult and unsettling time for affected employees and their families. This action, unfortunately, cannot wait if we are to remain a vital foundation industry supporting the UK's manufacturing and construction sectors. We will work closely with our trade union colleagues and government at a national and local level to ensure we provide our employees with as much assistance and support as possible".

The European operations of Tata Steel comprise Europe's second largest steel producer. With the main steelmaking operations in the UK and Netherlands, they supply steel and related services to the construction, automotive, packaging, rail, lifting & excavating, energy & power, aerospace and other demanding markets worldwide.

JSW Steel rose 0.54% after Q2 result. The company reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 115.55 crore in Q2 September 2013 as against net profit of Rs 691.25 crore in Q2 September 2012. JSW Steel's consolidated gross sales rose 35% to a record Rs 13866 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The company reported a record operating EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortization) of Rs 2348 crore in Q2 September 2013. The Q2 result was announced during trading hours today, 29 October 2013.

Total saleable steel volumes jumped 44% to 3.13 million tonnes in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. Crude steel production rose 37% to 2.98 million tonnes in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012.

The Q2 September 2013 results include the results of JSW ISPAT Steel which was merged with the company with effect from 1 June 2013.

With regard to the future business outlook, JSW Steel said that higher rural spending on the back of a good monsoon and an expected uptick in investment cycle due to the CCI (Cabinet Committee on Investment) driven push is likely to drive an improvement in steel demand growth in second half of FY 2014.

Shares of FMCG major Marico edged lower in choppy trade after the company reported good Q2 results. The stock shed 0.71% at Rs 210.65. The scrip hit high of Rs 221 and low of Rs 208.50.

Marico's consolidated net profit rose 25% to Rs 106 crore on 5% growth in revenue from operations to Rs 1118 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The company announced the results during market hours. These financial results represent Marico's FMCG business only. Marico's skin care business under the Kaya brand has been demerged into a separate company called Marico Kaya Enterprises (MaKE) as per a demerger scheme.

Marico said that the company's net profit after adjusting the impact of a change in the method of depreciation rose 23% to Rs 104 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012.

Marico said that the market prices of Copra which is a key input have rallied in the last few months. The average market prices of copra during Q2 September 2013 were up by 29% compared to Q2 September 2012. The company expects that there may be some input cost inflation in the second half of the year. This has led the company to initiate price increases. Marico said that the company derives comfort and confidence from the pricing power that its brands enjoy.

The business environment in the immediate term is challenging particularly in the urban areas, Marico said. The new categories that the company has entered into in the recent past are growing at a slower pace. The growth momentum in rural and middle India is intact. Moreover, the company is likely to invest significantly behind distribution which could give immediate gains, Marico said. Given the challenges, the company is expected to deliver a volume growth of about 8% to 10% in the short to media term for its India FMCG business. With inflation setting in and necessitating some price increases the overall top line growth could be in the region of 10% to 13%. This is expected to improve from FY 2015, Marico said. Marico said that operating margin of about 17% to 18% for the India FMCG business is sustainable in the short to medium term. The Youth brands portfolio is expected to grow by about 25%.

Marico said that the company will focus on deriving synergies as a result of the combination of domestic and international FMCG businesses. The company will target top line growth in the region of 15% to 20% in the medium term with an operating margin in the band of 14% to 15%. The company will focus on building capabilities to set it up for growth in the long run, Marico said.

The board of directors of Marico and MaKE have fixed 5 November 2013 as the record date for determining the shareholders of the company to whom 1 fully paid share of MaKE with a face value of Rs 10 each shall be issued for every 50 fully paid shares of Marico with a face value of Re 1 each.

Nocil lost 3.22% on weak Q2 result. The company's net profit declined 10.3% to Rs 5.16 crore on 12.3% growth in net sales to Rs 142.08 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The Q2 result was announced after market hours on Monday, 28 October 2013.

KSB Pumps surged 8.75% on good Q3 result. The company's net profit jumped 38.5% to Rs 17.90 crore on 11.5% growth in net sales to Rs 188.16 crore in Q3 September 2013 over Q3 September 2012. The Q3 result was announced after market hours on Monday, 28 October 2013.

HIL lost 2.69% on reverse turnaround in Q2 result. The company reported net loss of Rs 7.36 crore in Q2 September 2013 as against net profit of Rs 10.76 crore in Q2 September 2012. The Q2 result was announced at the fag end of market hours on Monday, 28 October 2013. HIL's net sales declined 24.8% to Rs 161.79 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012.

Lanco Industries spurted 13.66% on turnaround in Q2 result. The company reported a net profit of Rs 9.76 crore in Q2 September 2013 compared with a net loss of Rs 11.95 crore in Q2 September 2012. Net sales rose 20.8% to Rs 264.05 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The result was announced after market hours on Monday, 28 October 2013.

Jaiprakash Associates climbed 7.29% to Rs 46.35 on bargain hunting after the stock fell 9.15% in the preceding four trading sessions to Rs 43.20 on 28 October 2013, from a recent high of Rs 47.55 on 22 October 2013.

DCM Shriram Consolidated slumped 13.79% on weak Q2 result. The company's consolidated net profit declined 95.1% to Rs 1.41 crore on 25.8% growth in net sales to Rs 1684.22 crore in Q2 September 2013 over Q2 September 2012. The Q2 result was announced after market hours on Monday, 28 October 2013.

DCM Shriram Consolidated's profit before interest and tax (PBIT) before exceptional items stood at Rs 40.90 crore in Q2 September 2013 as compared to Rs 71 crore in Q2 September 2012.

Commenting on the performance for the quarter, in a joint statement, Mr. Ajay Shriram, Chairman & Senior Managing Director, and Mr. Vikram Shriram, Vice Chairman & Managing Director, DCM Shriram Consolidated said, "The overall performance of the company for the quarter has been significantly affected due to losses in Sugar Business. The Sugar profits have swung from positive Rs 31.3 crore to negative Rs 24.7 crore, corresponding to the swing in sugar margins from positive Rs 449 per quintal to negative Rs 249 per quintal. The operating environment for the Sugar business particularly in UP is very challenging with State Government fixing very high Cane prices without any linkage with Sugar prices. The resulting high cost structure has made the industry uncompetitive vis-a-vis other States and imports. The Chloro-Vinyl business continues to deliver strong performance. This is a result of our continuous focus on innovative cost reduction measures and firm realizations in Vinyl business. The Agri input businesses continue to hold strong promise and delivered stable earnings. Shriram Farm Solutions' efforts on growing the value-added input segment are yielding results. While our Bioseeds business in India delivered stable growth, higher sales return in the international markets subdued earnings. We believe that these businesses will deliver healthy growth rates in the medium term given strong research program and healthy pipeline of products. In Fenesta, increased retail penetration and cost control over the last one year is translating to better performance. At Hariyali Kisaan Bazaar, the efforts of rationalization are demonstrating results in line with plan. We maintain our view that our business model is strong and efficient and we will deliver noticeably better result, particularly if the Sugar operating structure improves. Besides, with focus on conserving internal cash generation, we are well poised to strengthen our financial positioning going forward".

In the foreign exchange market, the rupee edged higher against the dollar after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected and decided to infuse liquidity into the banking system. The partially convertible rupee was hovering at 61.31, compared with its close of 61.52/53 on Monday, 28 October 2013.

Bond prices rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after a monetary policy review raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis points as expected and decided to infuse liquidity into the banking system. The yield on the federal benchmark paper 7.16% GS 2023 was hovering at 8.5352%, lower than its close of 8.6557% on Monday, 28 October 2013. Bond yield and bond prices are inversely related.

The Reserve Bank of India after a monetary policy review today, 29 October 2013, raised its main lending rate viz. the repo rate by 25 basis poinst to 7.75%. With the more recent upturn of inflation, and with inflation expectations remaining elevated anticipating the pass-through of exchange rate depreciation and ongoing adjustment in administered fuel prices, it is important to break the spiral of rising price pressures in order to curb the erosion of financial saving and strengthen the foundations of growth, the RBI said. It is in this context that the LAF repo rate has been increased by 25 basis points, the RBI said.

Keeping in view the need to infuse liquidity into the banking system to normalise liquidity conditions, the RBI has decided to increase the liquidity provided through term repos of 7-day and 14-day tenor from 0.25% of NDTL of the banking system to 0.5% with immediate effect. RBI has also reduced the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate by 25 basis points from 9% to 8.75% with immediate effect. With the reduction of the MSF rate and the increase in the repo rate in this review, the process of re-aligning the interest rate corridor to normal monetary policy operations is now complete, the RBI said. Going forward, however, the more durable strategy for mitigating mismatches between the supply of, and demand for, funds is for banks to step up efforts to mobilise deposits, the RBI said.

The policy stance and measures in this review are intended to curb mounting inflationary pressures and manage inflation expectations in a situation of weak growth, the RBI said. These will help strengthen the environment for growth by fostering macroeconomic and financial stability. The Reserve Bank of India will closely monitor inflation risk while being mindful of the evolving growth dynamics, the central bank said in a statement.

The pass-through of rupee depreciation into prices of manufactured products is acting, along with elevated food and fuel inflation, to offset possible disinflationary effects of low growth. While food price pressures may ease with the arrival of the kharif harvest and the usual seasonal moderation, overall WPI inflation is expected to remain higher than current levels through most of the remaining part of the year, warranting an appropriate policy response, the RBI said. Retail inflation measured by the consumer price index (CPI) has also risen sharply across food and non-food constituents, including services, keeping inflation expectations high. Notwithstanding the expected edging down of food inflation, retail inflation is likely to remain around or even above 9% in the months ahead, absent policy action, RBI said.

Headwinds to growth from domestic constraints continue to pose downside risks, and vulnerabilities to sudden shifts in the external environment remain, the RBI said. The revival of large stalled projects and the pipeline cleared by the Cabinet Committee on Investment may buoy investment and overall activity towards the close of the year.

The Reserve Bank of India said its developmental measures over the next few quarters will be built on five pillars viz. clarifying and strengthening the monetary policy framework, strengthening banking structure through new entry, branch expansion, encouraging new varieties of banks, and moving foreign banks into better regulated organisational forms, broadening and deepening financial markets and increasing their liquidity and resilience so that they can help absorb the risks entailed in financing India's growth, expanding access to finance to small and medium enterprises, the unorganised sector, the poor, and remote and underserved areas of the country through measures to foster financial inclusion and improving the system's ability to deal with corporate distress and financial institution distress by strengthening real and financial restructuring as well as debt recovery.

European stocks edged higher on Tuesday, 29 October 2013, after US economic data backed the case for the Federal Reserve to maintain stimulus to the US economy. Key benchmark indices in Germany, France and UK were up 0.15% to 0.43%.

Asian stocks edged higher in choppy trade on Tuesday, 29 October 2013, after US economic data backed the case for the Federal Reserve to maintain stimulus to the US economy. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, and South Korea rose 0.03% to 0.18%. Key benchmark indices in China, Japan and Indonesia shed 0.23% to 0.6%.

The People's Bank of China conducted 13 billion yuan ($2.13 billion) of seven-day reverse-repurchase agreements today, 29 October 2013. That compares with the 102.5 billion yuan drained from the banking system in the last two weeks as existing contracts matured and the monetary authority suspended sales of new agreements as corporate tax payments fell due.

Trading in US index futures indicated a flat opening of US stocks on Tuesday, 29 October 2013. US stocks were little changed on Monday as investors found few catalysts to push equities higher. Economic data showed pending home sales slumped 5.6% in September, a rate that was far steeper than expected and the biggest drop in more than three years.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds a two-day policy meeting today, 29 October and tomorrow, 30 October 2013. On 18 September 2013, the Fed surprised economists and investors with its decision to delay scaling back its stimulus amid concerns about the strength of the economic recovery.

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First Published: Oct 29 2013 | 4:53 PM IST

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