Covid-19: Beginning of the end?

There have been well over half a million (613,413) Covid-19 deaths globally as of July 21, 2020. A timeline and geographical analysis of the mortality data, normalised to deaths per million to enable cross-country comparisons, in the accompanying table has both good and bad news.

The good news is that the pandemic appears to be receding across the board, although the possibility of a second wave cannot still be ruled out.

As is to be expected, this recession is uneven. The bad news is the possibility of elongation of the epidemic cycle in some regions, and that over the last six weeks,