Business Standard

Thursday, December 19, 2024 | 07:12 PM ISTEN Hindi

Notification Icon
userprofile IconSearch

On improved opinion polls for Delhi

Often, opinion polls fail to predict the number of seats of different parties but they usually don't make too many mistakes predicting their vote shares

Delhi Map
Premium

Delhi Map

Atanu Biswas
Another Assembly election in Delhi is around the corner. People might be struggling to understand to what extent opinion polls can be relied on, at least so far as the Delhi Assembly election is concerned. The last time, in 2015, it was a disaster for the pollsters — almost all the opinion polls failed to predict the ultimate result (Aam Aadmi Party or AAP: 67, Bharatiya Janata Party or BJP: Three, out of 70 seats).

Of the 27 opinion polls related to the 2015 Delhi Assembly elections available on Wikipedia, the one that went the closest had predicted 51±6 seats for
Disclaimer: These are personal views of the writer. They do not necessarily reflect the opinion of www.business-standard.com or the Business Standard newspaper

What you get on BS Premium?

  • Unlock 30+ premium stories daily hand-picked by our editors, across devices on browser and app.
  • Pick your 5 favourite companies, get a daily email with all news updates on them.
  • Full access to our intuitive epaper - clip, save, share articles from any device; newspaper archives from 2006.
  • Preferential invites to Business Standard events.
  • Curated newsletters on markets, personal finance, policy & politics, start-ups, technology, and more.
VIEW ALL FAQs

Need More Information - write to us at assist@bsmail.in