During the latter stages of a bull run, just before a big crash, you’ll hear many people insisting ‘This time it’s different’. Those words should act like a morning alarm. They indicate an attitude of over-confidence that leads to excessive risk taking. Investors who have received big returns over a long period tend to be over-confident. They think they will get those returns forever.
Apart from over-confidence, there are some other things that are common to late-stage bull markets. One, extreme over-valuation across a wide variety of stocks. Two, reliance on some source of unusually massive fund inflows. Another
Apart from over-confidence, there are some other things that are common to late-stage bull markets. One, extreme over-valuation across a wide variety of stocks. Two, reliance on some source of unusually massive fund inflows. Another
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