Why govts fail in making the right personnel requirement estimates

Whether it is Markov analysis, or some other method for forecasting personnel requirements, the government is way behind in the use of modern techniques

The recent fuss over the government’s order regarding summoning India Administrative Service (IAS) officers to serve at the Centre actually points to a larger crisis wherein the governments at the Centre and the states will not only have poorly qualified employees, but they will also not have enough people working for them.
 
What they will have in fact is a shortage of competence and an excess of incompetence as well as an overall shortage. This has already happened. The short point, as Brijeshwar Singh, a former IAS officer of the Tamil Nadu cadre, says, is that the Department of