Will BJP gain from early Lok Sabha elections? This is what data suggest

If state elections are any harbinger for the next general elections, then the BJP is certainly on a declining trend

A recent article (“12 reasons why Lok Sabha elections could happen in the next 100 days”) by Rajesh Jain–the architect of the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) Mission-272 electoral campaign in 2014–has captured the imagination of political pundits, analysts and leaders.

Jain lists six reasons–and six inferences from recent events–for the 2019 Lok Sabha elections to be advanced and held as early as in May 2018.

The first and foremost argument is a declining trend in the BJP’s electoral performance since 2014 and hence an early election is the BJP’s best bet to arrest