Business Standard

China imports fall slows in May

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AFP Beijing
China's imports decreased at their slowest pace in more than a year-and-a-half in May, official data showed today, in a possible sign domestic demand in the world's second-largest economy may be recovering.

The country is a key driver of world growth and its demand for commodities has enormous implications for resource-rich nations from Australia to Nigeria.

China's imports have been shrinking since late 2014 as the country's once blistering expansion lost steam, slowed down by manufacturing overcapacity, a slowing property market and mounting debt.

But the year-on-year drop of 0.4 per cent in May imports marked the slowest rate of decline since October 2014, when they grew 4.6 per cent, customs data showed.
 

The results were also well ahead of the Bloomberg News median forecast of a 6.8 per cent decrease based on a poll of economists.

"Recovering commodity prices and relatively resilient domestic demand are driving a recovery in import growth," Julian Evans-Pritchard, an analyst with research firm Capital Economics, said in a note.

The value for May imports stood at USD 131.1 billion, according to the Chinese customs office.

The improvement in imports is likely to last for the remainder of this year and "return to positive territory before long" partly because "the continued feed-through from earlier policy easing helps to prop up domestic demand", said Evans-Pritchard.

However, exports fell 4.1 per cent last month from a year ago to USD 181.1 billion, following a 1.8 per cent decline in April and leaving a trade surplus of just under USD 50 billion, the figures showed.

The key export sector has shown year-on-year declines for eight of the past 10 months as the country's economic growth has fallen to its slowest level in a quarter of a century.

Steel and aluminium exports continued to rise by volume in May, as the international community takes Beijing to task over concerns that it is flooding the market with the commodities.

China's steel exports increased 20 percent last year to 112 million tonnes, a record high, and in May rose 2.4 percent year-on-year to 9.4 million tonnes, official data showed.

China shipped 420,000 tonnes of aluminium last month, up 2.4 percent on year, according to the customs.

The increases come as countries around the world blame China for a supply glut that has left industry in Europe and elsewhere in turmoil.

As part of its promised reforms, the government has listed reducing overcapacity and excess inventory and cutting down borrowing as top priorities, with the country's ailing steel industry a key target.

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First Published: Jun 08 2016 | 2:28 PM IST

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