The impact of collective nationally determined contributions submitted by countries in the run up to Paris Climate Change meet will be insufficient to limit global warming to 2 degrees Celsius, an environment advocacy group said here today.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) has come out with its Synthesis Report with a view to assess the aggregate effort of the Parties' climate action plans referred to as the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC).
Assessing the report, Deputy Director General of Center for Science and Environment (CSE), Chandra Bhushan said,"the impact of aggregate INDCs is insufficient to limit global warming to 2 degrees Celsius. They put the world on a global warming path of 3 degrees Celsius or more."
The report takes into account 119 INDCs of 147 Parties by October 1.
"CSE disagrees with the projections put out by agencies, including UNFCCC, that the temperature rise will be about 2.7 degrees by 2100. Considering that about 75 per cent of the remaining carbon budget will be exhausted by 2030 and global emissions will not have peaked by 2030, CSE projections show that the world is on a temperature path of more than 3 degrees," he said.
The CSE also raised concerns about the mitigation efforts from developed countries saying that they were less than that by developing countries.
"The efforts from developed countries fall well short of what their efforts should have been considering their historical responsibility. The US and the EU countries climate action plans represent only about a fifth of what they should have been doing based on their economic capability and responsibility of causing climate change," Bhushan said.
