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Trump's approval still weak despite economy

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AP New York

About 6 in 10 Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump's overall job performance, according to a new poll released Thursday by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, which finds some support for the president's handling of the US economy but gives him weak marks on other major issues.

Just 36 per cent of Americans approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president; 62 per cent disapprove.

The numbers may be ugly for a first-term president facing reelection in 14 months, but they are remarkably consistent.

Trump's approval rating has never dipped below 32 per cent or risen above 42 per cent in AP-NORC polls since he took office.

 

No other president has stayed within so narrow a band.

Since Gallup began measuring presidential approval, Trump is the only president whose rating has never been above 50 per cent.

Still, several Harry Truman, Richard Nixon, Jimmy Carter, George H W Bush and George W Bush logged ratings worse than Trump's lowest rating so far at some point during their time in office.

Trump's poor grades in the AP-NORC poll extend to his handling of several key issues: immigration, health care, foreign policy and guns.

Views of the Republican president's handling of the economy remain a relative bright spot despite fears of a potential recession, but at least 60 per cent of Americans disapprove of his performance on other issues.

The consistency suggests the president's weak standing with the American people is calcified after two years of near-constant political crises and divisive rhetoric at the White House.

The new survey was conducted shortly after back-to-back mass shootings in Texas and Ohio left dozens dead and renewed calls from Americans for answers from their elected officials.

Trump pledged immediate action in the immediate aftermath of the attacks but has since shifted back and forth on whether to push for stronger background checks on people seeking to buy guns.

"He does whatever's politically expedient. He's awful," said 60-year-old Robert Saunders, a retired police officer from New Jersey who's not registered with either major political party and vowed not to vote for Trump in 2020.

According to the poll, 36 per cent approve of Trump on gun policy, while 61 per cent disapprove, numbers that mirror his broader approval rating.

In response to the shootings, Trump said that he would pursue policy options with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and that he would like to see "very meaningful background checks."

Earlier this week, however, Trump said the US already has significantly strict background checks in place and that many of his supporters are gun owners.

On Wednesday, however, he again backed tighter background checks while speaking to reporters at the White House.

Seven in 10 Republicans express approval of Trump's handling of gun policy in the new poll, among his lowest ratings from the GOP.

Beyond guns, Trump remains overwhelmingly popular within his own party.

Nearly 8 in 10 Republicans approve of Trump's overall job performance, while 20 per cent disapprove.

As has been the case for his entire presidency, Democrats overwhelmingly oppose his leadership: 94 per cent of Democrats disapprove in the new survey.

Independents remain decidedly low on Trump as well, with about two-thirds disapproving of Trump's performance.

Trump's current economic rating represents a 5 percentage point drop from the same time last year, but for a president who has struggled to win over a majority of American voters on any issue, the economy represents a relative strength.

Even some Democrats approve: Just 5 per cent of Democrats approve of his job performance overall, but 16 per cent approve of his handling of the economy.

Independents are closely divided 44 per cent approve and 47 per cent disapprove while 86 per cent of Republicans approve of his economic leadership.

"He's kind of a bully, but I've seen some improvement," said Mandi Mitchell, a 38-year-old registered Democrat from North Carolina.

"Our unemployment rate has definitely dropped." Mitchell, who is studying for her doctoral degree, said she didn't vote for Trump in 2016 but might in 2020.

"I'm not going to be too hard on him," she said.

"I just think he doesn't address America properly."

Amid regular distractions from the president's social media feed, Trump's team has worked to highlight rising retail sales and the solid labour market with its 3.7 per cent unemployment rate as sources of strength.

The US economy appears to be showing vulnerabilities after more than 10 years of growth, however.

Factory output has fallen and consumer confidence has waned as Trump has ramped up his trade fight with China.

"The economy is doing OK, but he's doing a horrible job for the country," said 67-year-old John Sollenberger, of Philadelphia.

He said he left the Republican Party after Trump's rise and is now a registered independent.

"To me, it's the vitriol that comes out of him," Sollenberger explained.

"He's obviously a racist. He's anti-immigrant. He foments discontent with so many people it doesn't matter what the economy's doing really."

Those who remain in the Republican Party do not share the negative assessment.

Greg Traylor, a 53-year-old small businessman from North Canton, Ohio, acknowledged that Trump is "rough around the edges," but he praised his work on immigration and his support for Israel.

On the economy, Traylor cheered Trump's hard-line stance with China, while acknowledging it may cause some short-term pain.

The AP-NORC poll of 1,058 adults was conducted August 15-19 using a sample drawn from NORC's probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the US population.

The margin of sampling error for all respondents is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Respondents were first selected randomly using address-based sampling methods and later were interviewed online or by phone.

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

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First Published: Aug 22 2019 | 9:25 PM IST

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