Business Standard

China's exports, imports beat forecasts in September

Exports rise 15.3%, imports 7% in Sept from a year earlier

Reuters Beijing

China's export and import performance in September easily beat forecasts, with imports showing unexpected buoyancy, helping to ease concerns about deteriorating domestic demand in the world's second-biggest economy.

Exports rose 15.3% in September from a year earlier, beating a median forecast in a Reuters poll for a rise of 11.8%.

Imports rose 7% in terms of value, compared to a Reuters estimate for a 2.7% fall.

"The big implication is that import (growth) is much stronger, so that no matter what is the reason, I think it will cool off a bit of the concern about domestic weakness bringing down economic activity," said Zhu Haibin, an economist at JPMorgan.

 

Nevertheless, Zhu said he expects policymakers to continue to unveil further modest measures to help shore up growth.

China's economy, the world's second largest, has had a bumpy ride this year. Activity has been dampened by unsteady exports and a slowdown in domestic demand that has been compounded by a cooling housing market, prompting a flurry of government stimulus measures.

However, the unexpectedly strong trade performance, if sustained, could temper any futher policy action.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said late last week that China will avoid a hard landing despite worries over a slowdown in the world's number-two economy and a flagging real-estate market. He also said he was confident the economy would continue to grow at a "medium to high tempo", forecasting growth of about 7.5% this year despite turbulence in the world economy.

China posted a trade surplus of $31.0 billion in September, down from $49.8 billion in August.

Third quarter GDP along with September retail sales, industrial output and investment data will be released on Oct. 21.

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First Published: Oct 13 2014 | 9:30 AM IST

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