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Gold rises on technicals, weaker dollar after U.S. jobs data

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Reuters

By Sethuraman N R

(Reuters) - Gold prices edged up on Monday, gaining for a third day, on technical buying and a weaker dollar after mixed U.S. jobs data late last week muted expectations for near-term interest rate hikes.

Spot gold had gained 0.3 percent to $1,222.95 per ounce by 0555 GMT.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.4 percent to $1,225.45 per ounce.

U.S. job growth surged more than expected in January as construction firms and retailers ramped up hiring, but wages barely rose, handing the administration under President Donald Trump both a head start and a challenge as it seeks to boost the economy.

 

The Dollar Index was down 0.1 percent at 99.736.

"Gold is pointing to push higher from all fronts on charts," said Brian Lan, managing director at gold dealer GoldSilver Central in Singapore, adding that the metal may test $1,230 per ounce.

Spot gold may rise towards resistance at $1,249 per ounce, as it has managed to stand above resistance at $1,219, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Wall Street's top banks expect just two rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year and see only a modest risk to the U.S. central bank being pressed into a more aggressive pace of monetary policy tightening.

"It's unlikely there will be a rate hike in March as there is too much political unrest in the United States. At least in the first half of the year, gold should do quite well," Lan said.

Gold is highly sensitive to rising U.S. rates, which increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.

Investor interest in gold was underscored by U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data on Friday that showed speculators increased their net long position in COMEX gold contracts to the highest in eight weeks in the week to Jan. 31.

Gold and silver would continue to move higher in February, largely on account of the continued weakness in the dollar, coupled with geopolitical developments having to do with both Iran and Ukraine, INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said.

"The (U.S.) standoff with Iran is the most problematic, since if tensions continued to escalate, it is quite possible that one side of the other could pull out of the nuclear accords, in which case we could see an immediate spike in gold."

A Revolutionary Guards commander said Iran would use its missiles if its security is under threat, as the elite force defied new U.S. sanctions on its missile programme by holding a military exercise on Saturday.

Spot silver on Monday rose 0.4 percent to $17.53 an ounce.

Platinum prices were up 0.2 percent at $1,005.70, while palladium rose 1.6 percent to $757.95.

(Reporting by Arpan Varghese in Bengaluru; Editing by Joseph Radford and Christian Schmollinger)

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First Published: Feb 06 2017 | 11:37 AM IST

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