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Oil dips on strong OPEC outlook, firm demand prevents bigger fall

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Reuters SINGAPORE

By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Crude oil dipped on Tuesday on expectations that OPEC would not cut output at its meeting this week, but firm refinery demand curbed price losses.

Front-month Brent crude futures had fallen 10 cents to $64.78 per barrel by 0227 GMT on Tuesday, while U.S. crude was down 5 cents at $60.15 a barrel.

Those slight declines extended a 1-percent drop from the previous session.

"Investors remained cautious heading into the OPEC ... meeting this Friday, with Brent coming under the most selling pressure," ANZ bank said on Tuesday.

U.S. bank Citi said it saw "a strong consensus for a quota rollover at Friday's summit".

 

High production by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), but also from U.S. shale producers and Russia, has contributed to oversupply and left tankers filled with millions of barrels of oil without buyers.

But prices were prevented from falling further on Tuesday as Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi said overnight that demand would pick up and tighten the market in the second half of the year.

"Comments from Saudi Arabian oil minister Ali al-Naimi were characteristically upbeat, acknowledging a current surplus in the market, but anticipating stronger second half demand and an eventual rebalancing of the market," Citi said in a note responding to his comments.

Naimi was the key architect of OPEC's decision at its last meeting in November 2014 not to cut crude production despite a growing global glut, exacerbated by a boom in U.S. shale oil, triggering sharp oil price falls.

Analysts said that prices were also receiving some support from firm refinery demand.

"Refineries are on the cusp of higher crude runs as we approach 3Q2015. On balance, we think any short-term price weakness will be dissolved by the pickup in end-user demand, higher runs and shrinking U.S. supply growth," JP Morgan said in its latest monthly oil report.

The dollar remains near one-month highs against a basket of currencies as expectations of an interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve this year remain high, while the euro is under pressure from Greece's financial crisis and soft euro zone data.

(Editing by Michael Perry and Joseph Radford)

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First Published: Jun 02 2015 | 8:26 AM IST

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