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Oil pares loss after fallng to lowest since May near $44

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Reuters LONDON

By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil pared losses on Tuesday to trade below $45 a barrel, after falling to its lowest since May on concerns that a long-awaited rebalancing of the market would be delayed due to excess supply.

Brent crude is up more than 60 percent from a 12-year low near $27 in January, but the rally has petered out on signs that the supply glut will persist and as economic jitters raised concern about the strength of oil demand.

Global benchmark Brent was trading at $44.70 a barrel at 1402 GMT, down 2 cents. It fell to $44.14 intraday, the lowest since May 10. U.S. crude was down 18 cents at $42.95, having fallen to its lowest since April earlier.

 

"Right now, there is not much to be optimistic about," said Olivier Jakob, oil analyst at Petromatrix, citing weak refining margins that will probably weigh on crude demand. "We have to wait a little bit longer for the rebalancing."

Traders said a weak U.S. dollar, a view that the earlier price drop was overdone and U.S. gasoline were lending support. Gasoline briefly reversed losses after data from market intelligence firm Genscape pointed to an inventory drop.

Record crude output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, a glut of refined products and signs of more drilling activity in the United States in the face of low oil prices have added to concern about excess supply.

U.S. drillers added oil rigs for a fourth consecutive week. The decline in U.S. output has been key to balancing a market weighed down by excess supply for two years.

BP Plc Chief Executive Bob Dudley was upbeat on the oil price outlook, saying the market would start to recover towards the end of the year and into 2017, although excess inventories would take longer to get rid of.

"We do see the market coming into balance, it may already be there," he told Reuters after the company reported a drop in second-quarter earnings. "There's a lot of stocks. It will take some time to work its way off, 18 months or so."

Also dampening sentiment, many traders are reducing their bets on rising prices.

Hedge funds and other money managers cut their net long position - bets on rising prices - in Brent and U.S. crude futures and options by 31 million barrels to 453 million in the week ending on July 19.

U.S. inventory reports from industry group the American Petroleum Institute and the U.S. Department of Energy due this week are expected by analysts to show a fall in crude stocks but a rise in gasoline supplies. [EIA/S]

The first of these reports, from the API, is due at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT).

(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein and Karolin Schaps; Editing by Alexandra Hudson and Adrian Croft)

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First Published: Jul 26 2016 | 7:48 PM IST

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