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Search for yield drives stocks higher, pound falls vs dollar

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Reuters LONDON

By Nigel Stephenson

LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks hit their highest levels in almost a year as investors searched for yield, while sterling fell to its weakest in a month on the prospect of easier monetary policy after Britain's vote to leave the European Union.

Wall Street was set to open modestly higher, according to index futures.

Ian McCafferty, a prominent Bank of England policy hawk, told The Times newspaper that, if the UK economy slowed as much as sentiment surveys have suggested, more easing would be required on top of the measures unveiled by the Bank last week.

That was enough to push sterling as low as $1.2968, its weakest since July 11. It last traded at $1.2983, down 0.4 percent on the day.

 

But the picture was complicated by data from the British Retail Consortium showing the biggest rise in retail spending in Britain in six months in July.

"McCafferty really underlined the dovishness of the MPC last week," said Jane Foley, a strategist with Rabobank in London. "But (reading the BRC data) consumers do seem to have been more robust than many had anticipated."

The BoE cut interest rates last week for the first time since 2009 to cushion the economic shock of the Brexit vote, and Australia cut its rates to a record low. New Zealand is widely expected to cut on Thursday.

Britain's blue-chip share index rose 0.3 percent, in line with a 0.4 percent rise in the pan-European STOXX 600 index. This lifted MSCI's all-country world index by 0.2 percent to a peak of 417.80 points, its highest since Aug. 19, 2015.

The European index was led higher by autos and banks and by forecast-beating company earnings.

Overall, the second-quarter earnings season has been encouraging so far. Of the 77 percent of STOXX 600 companies that have reported second-quarter results, 61 percent have met or beaten expectations, according to StarMine data.

"European earnings are surprising on the positive side, which is a confirmation of solid economic developments in Europe. However, the second half may not be as good due to uncertainties related to Brexit and some other political issues in Europe," UniCredit strategist Christian Stocker said.

For Reuters new Live Markets blog on European and UK stock markets see reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=http://emea1.apps.cp.extranet.thomsonreuters.biz/cms/?pageId=livemarkets

Earlier, Asian shares hit one-year highs as a global search for yield drove a record inflow into emerging market funds.

Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said last week the search had led to the largest five-week inflow on record to emerging market debt funds and the longest inflow streak to equity funds in two years.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 0.3 percent, having already risen for three sessions in a row.

Japan's Nikkei closed 0.7 percent high, rising for the fourth straight session.

Chinese shares rose 0.5 percent after July inflation data kept alive the prospect of easier monetary policy. Consumer price slowed compared with June while a long decline in producer prices moderated.

DOLLAR DIPS

The dollar dipped against a basket of major currencies, reversing earlier gains on slightly raised chances of higher Federal Reserve interest rates this year after Friday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data.

The yen edged up 0.2 percent to 102.19 per dollar while the euro slipped 0.1 percent to $1.1075.

Oil prices rose on forecasts of a drop in U.S. inventories and speculation of producer action to prop up prices. Brent, the international benchmark, rose 14 cents to $45.53 a barrel.

"One can only wonder how long this enthusiasm will last considering the oversupplied fundamental backdrop," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM. "Current oil price strength does not feel justified."

(Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in Sydney and Patrick Graham, Atul Prakash and Alex Lawler in London; editing by John Stonestreet)

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First Published: Aug 09 2016 | 11:34 PM IST

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