Page 4 - Abheek Barua

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Is Germany the new China?

While earlier it was China and other Asian economies that were contributing to a 'global savings glut', it seems Germany is now sitting on a mountain of savings

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Beware all ye who have borrowed dollars

A US rate hike and a spike in the dollar could pose a variety of problems even if they last for a quarter

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Will the FOMC continue to be patient?

If a June rate hike is to be factored in, the word 'patient' must go from the US Federal Reserve statement. However, its removal would still not mean that a rate hike is imminent

Abheek Barua: Policy on the hop?

Understanding what lay behind the Reserve Bank of India's sudden cut in interest rates

Abheek Barua: Ambitious spending, given tight finances

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Can central banks go bust?

As bond prices fall in response to economic recovery and inflation raises its head, all central banks with large bond holdings will have to take a hit on their balance sheets

Abheek Barua: Oh, what a wonderful year

Trying to understand the new and startling GDP numbers

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: US interest rates: It's about oil prices, stupid!

Unless there is a sharp uptick in oil prices, the US Federal Reserve is likely to push back its rate hike. The last quarter of 2015 is perhaps the earliest when it can increase rates

Abheek Barua: The Budget - back to basics

Getting the balance between fiscal restraint and growth-contracting policy remains a problem

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: The re-emergence of 'Grexit' fears

Despite the hard calculus of costs and benefits, letting Greece stray from the fold will be a tough call

Abheek Barua & Purva Singh: A big reason for India to export

Unless openness drives productivity higher, Indian growth will stagnate around six per cent

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: A glimpse of things to come

The rise in US interest rates and associated change in the direction of capital flows, the fall in oil prices and the slowdown in China are three themes that will dominate the markets in 2015

Jaimini Bhagwati & Abheek Barua: Yes, the rupee is overvalued

Rupee volatility could be dampened if it is steadily manoeuvred to levels consistent with inflation differentials

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: The deflation bug

The challenge for central bankers now is to commit to 'managed inflation' by signalling to the economy that prices will rise in the future

Abheek Barua: A list of risks

Many things could play spoilsport for the Indian economy

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Do the Saudis want low oil prices?

Saudi Arabia's deep pockets and a strong financial system could help the country to ride out a low-price environment in order to protect its market share

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Lessons from the 'Sadomonetarists'

Sweden's premature decision to hike rates represents a classic problem that all central banks, including the Reserve Bank of India, face in fighting deflation or inflation

Abheek Barua: The right questions

A response to the 28 economists defending the employment guarantee scheme

Abheek Barua & Bidisha Ganguly: Waiting for the Fed rate hike

Market signals point to an indefinite postponement but data from the US economy suggest the Fed will have to balance local trends and global factors

Abheek Barua: Is the rupee fairly valued?

Data on the real value of the currency against other currencies suggest otherwise